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We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

The use of second order boundary kernels for distribution function estimation was recently addressed in the literature (C. Tenreiro, 2013, Boundary kernels for distribution function estimation, REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 11, 169-190). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-05 Carlos Tenreiro

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the main characteristics of the mean-variance efficient frontier employing random matrix theory. Our particular interest covers the case when the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Taras Bodnar , Nikolaus Hautsch , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

We generalize standard credal set models for imprecise probabilities to include higher order credal sets -- confidences about confidences. In doing so, we specify how an agent's higher order confidences (credal sets) update upon observing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Justus Hibshman , Tim Weninger

The problem of convergence of moments of a sequence of random variables to the moments of its asymptotic distribution is important in many applications. These include the determination of the optimal training sample size in the cross…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou

We consider kernel smoothed Grenander-type estimators for a monotone hazard rate and a monotone density in the presence of randomly right censored data. We show that they converge at rate $n^{2/5}$ and that the limit distribution at a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Eni Musta

Kernel smoothers are considered near the boundary of the interval. Kernels which minimize the expected mean square error are derived. These kernels are equivalent to using a linear weighting function in the local polynomial regression. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Alexander Sidorenko , Kurt S. Riedel

We generalize a method for proving uniform in bandwidth consistency results for kernel type estimators developed by the two last named authors. Such results are shown to be useful in establishing consistency of local polynomial estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Julia Dony , Uwe Einmahl , David M. Mason

Recent research has established sufficient conditions for finite mixture models to be identifiable from grouped observations. These conditions allow the mixture components to be nonparametric and have substantial (or even total) overlap.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Alexander Ritchie , Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton Scott

For the kernel estimator of the quantile density function (the derivative of the quantile function), I show how to perform the boundary bias correction, establish the rate of strong uniform consistency of the bias-corrected estimator, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-20 Grigory Franguridi

Convergence rates of kernel density estimators for stationary time series are well studied. For invertible linear processes, we construct a new density estimator that converges, in the supremum norm, at the better, parametric, rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

We are interested in the rate of consistency of kernel density estimators with respect to the weighted sup-norm determined by some unbounded weight function. This problem has been considered by Gine, Koltchinskii and Zinn (2004) for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Julia Dony , Uwe Einmahl

Let $X$ be a Bernoulli random variable with the success probability $p$. We are interested in tight bounds on $\mathbb{E}[f(X_1,X_2)]$, where $X_i=\mathbb{E}[X| \mathcal{F}_i]$ and $\mathcal{F}_i$ are some sigma-algebras. This problem is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Egor Kravchenko

In many contemporary statistical and machine learning methods, one needs to optimize an objective function that depends on the discrepancy between two probability distributions. The discrepancy can be referred to as a metric for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yijin Ni , Xiaoming Huo

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

We introduce a general method to prove uniform in bandwidth consistency of kernel-type function estimators. Examples include the kernel density estimator, the Nadaraya-Watson regression estimator and the conditional empirical process. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Uwe Einmahl , David M. Mason

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

In this paper, we present a study of a kernel-based consensual aggregation on randomly projected high-dimensional features of predictions for regression. The aggregation scheme is composed of two steps: the high-dimensional features of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-07 Sothea Has

Estimating the innovation probability density is an important issue in any regression analysis. This paper focuses on functional autoregressive models. A residual-based kernel estimator is proposed for the innovation density. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-07 Nadine Hilgert , Bruno Portier