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Ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) play a key role in seismic hazard assessment (SHA). Considering the seismo-tectonic, geophysical and geotectonic characteristics of a target region, all the GMPEs may not be suitable in predicting…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-10 S. Selvan , Suman Sinha

A few ground-motion prediction models have been published in the last years, for predicting ground motions produced by interface and intraslab earthquakes. When one must carry out a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in a region…

Estimates of seismic wave speeds in the Earth (seismic velocity models) are key input parameters to earthquake simulations for ground motion prediction. Owing to the non-uniqueness of the seismic inverse problem, typically many velocity…

This study presents a pilot investigation into a novel method for reconstructing real-time ground motion during small magnitude earthquakes (M < 4.5), removing the need for computationally expensive source characterization and simulation…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-06 Youngkyu Kim , Qingkai Kong , Youngsoo Choi , Arben Pitarka , Byounghyun Yoo

We develop a site-specific ground-motion model (GMM) for crustal earthquakes in Japan that can directly model the probability distribution of ground motion acceleration time histories based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). The…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-01 Yuma Matsumoto , Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Takenori Hida , Tatsuya Itoi

In probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), the exceedance probability of a ground-motion intensity measure (IM) is typically evaluated. However, in recent years, dynamic response analyses using ground-motion time histories as input…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Yuma Matsumoto , Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Asako Iwaki , Tatsuya Itoi

A partially non-ergodic ground-motion prediction equation is estimated for Europe and the Middle East. Therefore, a hierarchical model is presented that accounts for regional differences. For this purpose, the scaling of ground-motion…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-03-30 Nicolas M. Kuehn , Frank Scherbaum

This study tries to develop new attenuation relationships of peak ground velocity using machine learning methods; random forest and neural network. In order to compare with the predictors obtained by machine learning, we have also…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-11-02 Junjie Wu , Yoshihisa Maruyama , Wen Liu

Predicting high-fidelity ground motions for future earthquakes is crucial for seismic hazard assessment and infrastructure resilience. Conventional empirical simulations suffer from sparse sensor distribution and geographically localized…

Within the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, the fragility model plays a pivotal role. Such a model represents the probability that the engineering demand parameter (EDP) exceeds a certain safety threshold given a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 X. Zhu , M. Broccardo , B. Sudret

Both in terrestrial and extraterrestrial environments, the precise and informative model of the ground and the surface ahead is crucial for navigation and obstacle avoidance. The ground surface is not always flat and it may be sloped, bumpy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

This study presents the development and application of a scalable non-ergodic ground motion model (NGMM) for the Los Angeles area. The NGMM is trained and validated on physics-based simulated ground-motion data from a recent Statewide…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jinyan Zhao , Grigorios Lavrentiadis , Domniki Asimaki

We introduce a new approach for ground motion relations (GMR) in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), being influenced by the extreme value theory of mathematical statistics. Therein, we understand a GMR as a random function.…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Mathias Raschke

Geometric modelling of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) is a widely used tool for assessing their kinematic evolution. Furthermore, techniques based on geometric modelling, such as ELEvoHI, are being developed into forecast tools for space…

Ground motion models (GMMs) are critical for seismic risk mitigation and infrastructure design. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly applied to GMM development due to expanding strong motion databases. However, existing ML-based GMMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Vemula Sreenath , Filippo Gatti , Pierre Jehel

Ensuring the seismic safety of nuclear power plants (NPPs) is essential, especially for facilities that rely on base isolation to reduce earthquake impacts. For understanding the seismic response, accurate models are key to predict the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Valeria Soto , Fernando Lopez-Caballero

Accurate slope stability analysis of earth embankments under ground shaking is of great importance for practical use in earthquake geotechnics. This study aims to predict soil slope displacements of earth embankments subjected to earthquake…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Jin Zhenyang , Sanglin Zhao , Fan Siyu , Javdanian Hamed

Most Probable Explanation (MPE) inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem arising in domains such as diagnosis, planning, and structured prediction. In many practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Brij Malhotra , Shivvrat Arya , Tahrima Rahman , Vibhav Giridhar Gogate

Probabilistic seismic hazard and risk models are essential to improving our awareness of seismic risk, to its management, and to increasing our resilience against earthquake disasters. These models consist of a series of components, which…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-30 K Trevlopoulos , P Gehl , C Negulescu

Earthquake prediction has been a challenging research area for many decades, where the future occurrence of this highly uncertain calamity is predicted. In this paper, several parametric and non-parametric features were calculated, where…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Gunbir Singh Baveja , Jaspreet Singh
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