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We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We study the problem of controlling a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) to either aid or hinder the estimation of its state trajectory. We encode the estimation objectives via the smoother entropy, which is the conditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-10 Timothy L. Molloy , Girish N. Nair

We analyze the probability distributions of the quantum walks induced from Markov chains by Szegedy (2004). The first part of this paper is devoted to the quantum walks induced from finite state Markov chains. It is shown that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-12-19 Radhakrishnan Balu , Chaobin Liu , Salvador E. Venegas-Andraca

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah

Observing stochastic trajectories with rare transitions between states, practically undetectable on time scales accessible to experiments, makes it impossible to directly quantify the entropy production and thus infer whether and how far…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-15 Marco Baiesi , Tomohiro Nishiyama , Gianmaria Falasco

An invariant state of a quantum Markov semigroup is an equilibrium state if it satisfies a quantum detailed balance condition. In this paper, we introduce a notion of entropy production for faithful normal invariant states of a quantum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-18 Franco Fagnola , Rolando Rebolledo

We provide a unified framework to compute the stationary distribution of any finite irreducible Markov chain or equivalently of any irreducible random walk on a finite semigroup $S$. Our methods use geometric finite semigroup theory via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-11 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing , Rolf Molini

Maximization of the entropy rate is an important issue to design diffusion processes aiming at a well-mixed state. We demonstrate that it is possible to construct maximal-entropy random walks with only local information on the graph…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-14 Roberta Sinatra , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Renaud Lambiotte , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

For strongly positively recurrent countable state Markov shifts, we bound the distance between an invariant measure and the measure of maximal entropy in terms of the difference of their entropies. This extends an earlier result for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-03 René Rühr , Omri Sarig

Measuring entropy production of a system directly from the experimental data is highly desirable since it gives a quantifiable measure of the time-irreversibility for non-equilibrium systems and can be used as a cost function to optimize…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-16 Prashant Singh , Karel Proesmans

Estimating the entropy based on data is one of the prototypical problems in distribution property testing and estimation. For estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution on $S$ elements with independent samples, [Paninski2004] showed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Chuan-Zheng Lee , Tsachy Weissman , Yihong Wu , Tiancheng Yu

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

A central task in stochastic thermodynamics is the estimation of entropy production for partially accessible Markov networks. We establish an effective transition-based description for such networks with transitions that are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-20 Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

Following [21, 23], the present work investigates a new relative entropy-regularized algorithm for solving the optimal transport on a graph problem within the randomized shortest paths formalism. More precisely, a unit flow is injected into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Sylvain Courtain , Guillaume Guex , Ilkka Kivimaki , Marco Saerens

Using the concept of discrete noiseless channels, it was shown by Shannon in A Mathematical Theory of Communication that the ultimate performance of an encoder for a constrained system is limited by the combinatorial capacity of the system…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-09 Georg Böcherer , Valdemar Cardoso da Rocha , Cecilio Pimentel

We use the $f-divergence$ also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-20 A. R. Baigorri , C. R. Goncalves , P. A. A. Resende