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Many generative models can be expressed as a differentiable function of random inputs drawn from some simple probability density. This framework includes both deep generative architectures such as Variational Autoencoders and a large class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-06 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihoods, such as Markov random fields, poses a fundamental computational challenge due to the tradeoff between inferential accuracy and computational cost. Various MCMC methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Laura Bazahica , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Matthew Moores , Lassi Roininen

While deep neural networks provide good performance for a range of challenging tasks, calibration and uncertainty estimation remain major challenges, especially under distribution shift. In this paper, we propose the amortized conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Aurick Zhou , Sergey Levine

We propose a new fiducial Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for fitting parametric Gaussian models. We utilize the Cayley transform to decompose the parametric covariance matrix, which in turn allows us to formulate a general data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Hank Flury , Jan Hannig , Richard Smith

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) commonly arise in communication systems, particularly in bilinear joint estimation and detection problems. Although the product of GMMs is still a GMM, as the number of factors increases, the number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-04 Zilu Zhao , Dirk Slock

We propose a general framework using spike-and-slab prior distributions to aid with the development of high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Our framework allows inference with a general quasi-likelihood function. We show that highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Yves Atchade , Anwesha Bhattacharyya

Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Generative models have been successfully used for generating realistic signals. Because the likelihood function is typically intractable in most of these models, the common practice is to use "implicit" models that avoid likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Itai Alon , Amir Globerson , Ami Wiesel

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs), a hierarchical composition of GP models, have successfully boosted the expressive power of their single-layer counterpart. However, it is impossible to perform exact inference in DGPs, which has motivated the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Haibin Yu , Dapeng Liu , Yizhou Chen , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Recently much attention has been paid to deep generative models, since they have been used to great success for variational inference, generation of complex data types, and more. In most all of these settings, the goal has been to find a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Sean R. Bittner , John P. Cunningham

The generalized labeled multi-Bernoulli (GLMB) filter is a theoretically rigorous Bayes-optimal multitarget tracking algorithm with computationally tractable implementations, based on labeled random finite set (LRFS) theory. It presumes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Ronald Mahler

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Behrooz Ghorbani , Hamid Javadi , Andrea Montanari

Clustering is a powerful and extensively used data science tool. While clustering is generally thought of as an unsupervised learning technique, there are also supervised variations such as Spath's clusterwise regression that attempt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Aravinth Chembu , Scott Sanner

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Variational inference has been widely used in machine learning literature to fit various Bayesian models. In network analysis, this method has been successfully applied to solve the community detection problems. Although these results are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-22 Xuezhen Li , Can M. Le

Gradient matching with Gaussian processes is a promising tool for learning parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODE's). The essence of gradient matching is to model the prior over state variables as a Gaussian process which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann

The article develops a hybrid Variational Bayes algorithm that combines the mean-field and fixed-form Variational Bayes methods. The new estimation algorithm can be used to approximate any posterior without relying on conjugate priors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-09 David J Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Anthony Y. C. Kuk , Robert Kohn