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interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael D. Kaminski , Ba-Hien Tran , Maurizio Filippone , Noel Cressie

This work proposes a comprehensively progressive Bayesian neural network for robust continual learning of a sequence of tasks. A Bayesian neural network is progressively pruned and grown such that there are sufficient network resources to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Guo Yang , Cheryl Sze Yin Wong , Ramasamy Savitha

Numerous Bayesian Network (BN) structure learning algorithms have been proposed in the literature over the past few decades. Each publication makes an empirical or theoretical case for the algorithm proposed in that publication and results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Anthony C. Constantinou , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham , Zhigao Guo , Neville K. Kitson

There is an obvious need for improving the performance and accuracy of a Bayesian network as new data is observed. Because of errors in model construction and changes in the dynamics of the domains, we cannot afford to ignore the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Automated identification of protein conformational states from simulation of an ensemble of structures is a hard problem because it requires teaching a computer to recognize shapes. We adapt the naive Bayes classifier from the machine…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 David M. Rogers

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) allow for uncertainty in the predictions to be assessed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Michele Caprio , Souradeep Dutta , Kuk Jin Jang , Vivian Lin , Radoslav Ivanov , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Structural learning of Bayesian Networks (BNs) is a NP-hard problem, which is further complicated by many theoretical issues, such as the I-equivalence among different structures. In this work, we focus on a specific subclass of BNs, named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Daniele Ramazzotti , Marco S. Nobile , Marco Antoniotti , Alex Graudenzi

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

The adaptive processing of structured data is a long-standing research topic in machine learning that investigates how to automatically learn a mapping from a structured input to outputs of various nature. Recently, there has been an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Federico Errica

Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical models that are useful for representing high-dimensional probability distributions. There has been a great deal of interest in recent years in the NP-hard problem of learning the structure of a BN from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 D. Jennings , J. N. Corcoran

We investigate the problem of learning Bayesian networks in a robust model where an $\epsilon$-fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. In this work, we study the fully observable discrete case where the structure of the network…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

Bayesian Networks (BNs) represent conditional probability relations among a set of random variables (nodes) in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), and have found diverse applications in knowledge discovery. We study the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Simge Kucukyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Hasan Manzour , Linchuan Wei , Hao-Hsiang Wu

In the process of building (structural learning) a probabilistic graphical model from a set of observed data, the directional, cyclic dependencies between the random variables of the model are often found. Existing graphical models such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Oleksii Sirotkin

Continual learning is the ability to sequentially learn over time by accommodating knowledge while retaining previously learned experiences. Neural networks can learn multiple tasks when trained on them jointly, but cannot maintain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Frantzeska Lavda , Jason Ramapuram , Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis

Gaussian Process Networks (GPNs) are a class of directed graphical models which employ Gaussian processes as priors for the conditional expectation of each variable given its parents in the network. The model allows the description of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models employed in numerous application domains. However, inferring the network's graphical structure from data remains challenging. Bayesian structure learners…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 William Zhao , Guy Van den Broeck , Benjie Wang

Transient stability and critical clearing time (CCT) are important concepts in power system protection and control. This paper explores and compares various learning-based methods for predicting CCT under uncertainties arising from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-05 Xingjian Wu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang , Peter E. Caines , Jingyu Liu