English
Related papers

Related papers: Estimation of volatility functionals: the case of …

200 papers

This work is concerned with tests on structural breaks in the spot volatility process of a general It\^o semimartingale based on discrete observations contaminated with i.i.d. microstructure noise. We construct a consistent test building up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Markus Bibinger , Mehmet Madensoy

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Bibinger

This article studies nonparametric methods to estimate the co-integrated volatility for multi-dimensional L\'evy processes with high frequency data. We construct a spectral estimator for the co-integrated volatility and prove minimax rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Katerina Papagiannouli

We consider a multidimensional It\^o process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with some unknown drift coefficient process $b_t$ and volatility coefficient $\sigma(X_t,\theta)$ with covariate process $X=(X_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$, the function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Stefano M. Iacus , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

We investigate a functional obtained by summing the squared differences of the integral of an Ito process over disjoint intervals. The limit of this sum is shown to converge in probability to two thirds the quadratic variation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-14 John F. A. Fletcher

This paper proposes a novel multiscale estimator for the integrated volatility of an Ito process, in the presence of market microstructure noise (observation error). The multiscale structure of the observed process is represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-19 Sofia Olhede , Adam Sykulski , Grigorios Pavliotis

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

The nonparametric volatility estimation problem of a scalar diffusion process observed at equidistant time points is addressed. Using the spectral representation of the volatility in terms of the invariant density and an eigenpair of the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-01 Jakub Chorowski

In order to study the geometry of interest rates market dynamics, Malliavin, Mancino and Recchioni [A non-parametric calibration of the HJM geometry: an application of It\^o calculus to financial statistics, {\it Japanese Journal of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-09 Nien-Lin Liu , Hoang-Long Ngo

In this paper we derive the optimal linear shrinkage estimator for the high-dimensional mean vector using random matrix theory. The results are obtained under the assumption that both the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$ tend to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Taras Bodnar , Ostap Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

In random matrix theory, the spectral distribution of the covariance matrix has been well studied under the large dimensional asymptotic regime when the dimensionality and the sample size tend to infinity at the same rate. However, most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Qiang Liu , Yiming Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit