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We consider again the fast-slow motions setups in the continuous time $\frac {dX_N(t)}{dt}=N^{1/2} \sig(X_N(t))(\xi(tN))+b(X_N(t)),\, t\in [0,T]$ and the discrete time $X_N((n+1)/N)=X_N(n/N)+N^{-1/2}\sig(X_N(n/N))\xi(n)+N^{-1}b(X_N(n/N)),\,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yuri Kifer

Estimators derived from a divergence criterion such as $\varphi-$divergences are generally more robust than the maximum likelihood ones. We are interested in particular in the so-called MD$\varphi$DE, an estimator built using a dual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-14 Diaa Al Mohamad , Michel Broniatowski

This work presents a new methodology to obtain probabilistic interval predictions of a dynamical system. The proposed strategy uses stored past system measurements to estimate the future evolution of the system. The method relies on the use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 A. Daniel Carnerero , Daniel R. Ramirez , Teodoro Alamo

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Single-molecule localization microscopy allows practitioners to locate and track labeled molecules in biological systems. When extracting diffusion coefficients from the resulting trajectories, it is common practice to perform a linear fit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Jakob Tómas Bullerjahn , Gerhard Hummer

Denoising diffusion models (DDMs) offer a flexible framework for sampling from high dimensional data distributions. DDMs generate a path of probability distributions interpolating between a reference Gaussian distribution and a data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 Christopher Williams , Andrew Campbell , Arnaud Doucet , Saifuddin Syed

Finite mixture models have long been used across a variety of fields in engineering and sciences. Recently there has been a great deal of interest in quantifying the convergence behavior of the \emph{mixing measure}, a fundamental object…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Yun Wei , Sayan Mukherjee , XuanLong Nguyen

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We establish the convergences (with respect to the simulation time $t$; the number of particles $N$; the timestep $\gamma$) of a Moran/Fleming-Viot type particle scheme toward the quasi-stationary distribution of a diffusion on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Lucas Journel , Pierre Monmarché

We present a novel artificial diffusion method to circumvent the instabilities associated with the standard finite element approximation of convection-diffusion equations. Motivated by the micromorphic approach, we introduce an auxiliary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Soheil Firooz , B. Daya Reddy , Paul Steinmann

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

In this paper a novel computational technique for finite discrete approximation of continuous dynamical systems suitable for a significant class of biochemical dynamical systems is introduced. The method is parameterized in order to affect…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-01 Lubos Brim , Jana Fabrikova , Sven Drazan , David Safranek

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This work reviews deterministic and diffusion approximations of the stochastic chemical reaction networks and explains their applications. We discuss the added value the diffusion approximation provides for systems with different phenomena,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Pavel Mozgunov , Marco Beccuti , Andras Horvath , Thomas Jaki , Roberta Sirovich , Enrico Bibbona

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

We focus here on a class of fourth-order parabolic equations that can be written as a system of second-order equations by introducing an auxiliary variable. We design a novel second-order fully discrete mixed finite element method to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Sana Keita , Abdelaziz Beljadid , Yves Bourgault

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais