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The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

In this work, the achievable rate of three-node relay systems with selection relaying under statistical delay constraints, imposed on the limitations of the maximum end-to-end delay violation probabilities, is investigated. It is assumed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-14 Deli Qiao

Policy learning using historical observational data is an important problem that has found widespread applications. Examples include selecting offers, prices, advertisements to send to customers, as well as selecting which medication to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Nian Si , Fan Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou , Jose Blanchet

Let $v_n$ be the maximum expected length of an increasing subsequence, which can be selected by an online nonanticipating policy from a random sample of size $n$. Refining known estimates, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of $v_n$ up to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Amirlan Seksenbayev

We study a sequential decision-making model where a set of items is repeatedly matched to the same set of agents over multiple rounds. The objective is to determine a sequence of matchings that either maximizes the utility of the least…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Eugene Lim , Tzeh Yuan Neoh , Nicholas Teh

Using the regenerative scheme of Comets, Fern\'andez and Ferrari (2002), we establish a functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for discrete time stochastic processes (chains) with summable memory decay. Furthermore, under stronger…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-24 G. Maillard , S. Schöpfer

In this paper, we present a generalization of the certainty equivalence principle of stochastic control. One interpretation of the classical certainty equivalence principle for linear systems with output feedback and quadratic costs is as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Berk Bozkurt , Aditya Mahajan , Ashutosh Nayyar , Yi Ouyang

When facing many options, we narrow down our focus to very few of them. Although behaviors like this can be a sign of heuristics, they can actually be optimal under limited cognitive resources. Here we study the problem of how to optimally…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 Jorge Ramírez-Ruiz , Rubén Moreno-Bote

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last century, various techniques have been developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arisina Banerjee , Arun K Kuchibhotla

Citizens' assemblies are an increasingly influential form of deliberative democracy, where randomly selected people discuss policy questions. The legitimacy of these assemblies hinges on their representation of the broader population, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Angelos Assos , Carmel Baharav , Bailey Flanigan , Ariel Procaccia

We study how linear orders can be employed to realise choice functions for which the set of potential choices is restricted, i.e., the possible choice is not possible among the full powerset of all alternatives. In such restricted settings,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Kai Sauerwald , Kenneth Skiba , Eduardo Fermé , Thomas Meyer

In this paper, we propose and study the cascade submodular maximization problem under the adaptive setting. The input of our problem is a set of items, each item is in a particular state (i.e., the marginal contribution of an item) which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Shaojie Tang , Jing Yuan

We introduce and study randomized sequential importance sampling algorithms for estimating the number of perfect matchings in bipartite graphs. In analyzing their performance, we establish various non-standard central limit theorems. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Persi Diaconis , Brett Kolesnik

A Central Limit Theorem is proved for linear random fields when sums are taken over finite disjoint union of rectangles. The approach does not rely upon the use of Beveridge Nelson decomposition and the conditions needed are similar to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-14 Atul Mallik , Michael Woodroofe

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

We study a fundamental stochastic selection problem involving $n$ independent random variables, each of which can be queried at some cost. Given a tolerance level $\delta$, the goal is to find a value that is $\delta$-approximately minimum…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Hessa Al-Thani , Viswanath Nagarajan

We propose a framework that can incrementally expand the explanatory temporal logic rule set to explain the occurrence of temporal events. Leveraging the temporal point process modeling and learning framework, the rule content and weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Lu Wang , Kun Gao , Shuang Li

We define the local empirical process, based on $n$ i.i.d. random vectors in dimension $d$, in the neighborhood of the boundary of a fixed set. Under natural conditions on the shrinking neighborhood, we show that, for these local empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-22 John H. J. Einmahl , Estáte V. Khmaladze

A framework is introduced for actively and adaptively solving a sequence of machine learning problems, which are changing in bounded manner from one time step to the next. An algorithm is developed that actively queries the labels of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Yuheng Bu , Jiaxun Lu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider the problem of directly optimizing a non-linear function of an outcome, where this outcome itself is the sum of many small contributions. The non-linearity of the function means that the problem is not equivalent to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-04 Benjamin Heymann , Otmane Sakhi