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We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-20 Apostolos Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

Controllable Markov chains describe the dynamics of sequential decision making tasks and are the central component in optimal control and reinforcement learning. In this work, we give the general form of an optimal policy for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Peter N. Loxley

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Wesley Cowan , Michael N. Katehakis

In the theory of dynamic programming, an optimal policy is a policy whose lifetime value dominates that of all other policies from every possible initial condition in the state space. This raises a natural question: when does optimality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 John Stachurski , Jingni Yang , Ziyue Yang

Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Arun Verma

Learning auxiliary tasks, such as multiple predictions about the world, can provide many benefits to reinforcement learning systems. A variety of off-policy learning algorithms have been developed to learn such predictions, but as yet there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Matthew McLeod , Chunlok Lo , Matthew Schlegel , Andrew Jacobsen , Raksha Kumaraswamy , Martha White , Adam White

For effective decision support in scenarios with conflicting objectives, sets of potentially optimal solutions can be presented to the decision maker. We explore both what policies these sets should contain and how such sets can be computed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Willem Röpke , Conor F. Hayes , Patrick Mannion , Enda Howley , Ann Nowé , Diederik M. Roijers

We consider the problem of sequencing a set of positive numbers. We try to find the optimal sequence to maximize the variance of its partial sums. The optimal sequence is shown to have a beautiful structure. It is interesting to note that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Li Wei , Wangdong Qi , Dingxing Chen , Peng Liu , En Yuan

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

Consider a communication network with a source, a relay and a destination. Each time interval, the source may dynamically choose between a few possible coding schemes, based on the channel state, traffic pattern and its own queue status.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Asaf Cohen , Dennis Goeckel , Omer Gurewitz , Daniel S. Menasche , Mark Shifrin

We revisit the problem of selecting an item from $n$ choices that appear before us in random sequential order so as to minimize the expected rank of the item selected. In particular, we examine the stopping rule where we reject the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-10 Béla Bajnok , Svetoslav Semov

Many sequential decision making problems can be formulated as an adaptive submodular maximization problem. However, most of existing studies in this field focus on pool-based setting, where one can pick items in any order, and there have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Shaojie Tang , Jing Yuan

We examine the problem of optimal design in the context of filtering multiple random walks. Specifically, we define the steady state E-optimal design criterion and show that the underlying optimization problem leads to a second order cone…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-07 Harsh Singhal , George Michailidis

We prove two theorems related to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for Martin-L\"of Random (MLR) sequences. Martin-L\"of randomness attempts to capture what it means for a sequence of bits to be "truly random". By contrast, CLTs do not make…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Anton Vuerinckx , Yves Moreau

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Arun Verma

Data-driven control of discrete-time and continuous-time systems is of tremendous research interest. In this paper, we explore data-driven optimal control of continuous-time linear systems using input-output data. Based on a density result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Philipp Schmitz , Timm Faulwasser , Paolo Rapisarda , Karl Worthmann

We consider an optimal stopping problem with n correlated offers where the goal is to design a (randomized) stopping strategy that maximizes the expected value of the offer in the sequence at which we stop. Instead of assuming to know the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pieter Kleer , Daan Noordenbos