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We consider discrete nonparametric priors which induce Gibbs-type exchangeable random partitions and investigate their posterior behavior in detail. In particular, we deduce conditional distributions and the corresponding Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Stephen G. Walker

We establish sharp large-deviation asymptotic estimates for the maximum order statistic of i.i.d.\ standard normal random variables on all Borel subsets of the positive real line. This result yields more accurate tail approximations than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 José M. Zapata

In spatio-temporal point pattern analysis, one of the main statistical objectives is to estimate the first-order intensity function, i.e., the expected number of points per unit area and unit time. This estimation is usually carried out…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

We consider estimating the parametric components of semi-parametric multiple index models in a high-dimensional and non-Gaussian setting. Such models form a rich class of non-linear models with applications to signal processing, machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Zhuoran Yang , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Han Liu

We constuct a sequential adaptive procedure for estimating the autoregressive function at a given point in nonparametric autoregression models with Gaussian noise. We make use of the sequential kernel estimators. The optimal adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Ouerdia Arkoun

We consider a strictly stationary random field on the two-dimensional integer lattice with regularly varying marginal and finite-dimensional distributions. Exploiting the regular variation, we define the spatial extremogram which takes into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Ewa Damek , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao , Jacek Zienkiewicz

Causal questions are omnipresent in many scientific problems. While much progress has been made in the analysis of causal relationships between random variables, these methods are not well suited if the causal mechanisms only manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Nicola Gnecco , Nicolai Meinshausen , Jonas Peters , Sebastian Engelke

We consider the problem of estimating the support of a measure from a finite, independent, sample. The estimators which are considered are constructed based on the empirical Christoffel function. Such estimators have been proposed for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Mai Trang Vu , François Bachoc , Edouard Pauwels

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

Conditional Mutual Information (CMI) is a measure of conditional dependence between random variables X and Y, given another random variable Z. It can be used to quantify conditional dependence among variables in many data-driven inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Sudipto Mukherjee , Himanshu Asnani , Sreeram Kannan

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

In this paper, we investigate the approximations of generalized Weyl fractional-order integrals in extreme value theory framework. We present three applications of our asymptotic results concerning the higher-order tail approximations of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-02-04 Chengxiu Ling , Zuoxiang Peng

We consider the nonparametric estimation of the univariate heavy tailed probability density function (pdf) with a support on $[0,\infty)$ by independent data. To this end we construct the new kernel estimator as a combination of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-25 L. Markovich

We propose a theoretical study of two realistic estimators of conditional distribution functions and conditional quantiles using random forests. The estimation process uses the bootstrap samples generated from the original dataset when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

The causal inference literature frequently focuses on estimating the mean of the potential outcome, whereas quantiles of the potential outcome may carry important additional information. We propose a unified approach, based on the inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-16 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

Estimating extreme quantiles is an important task in many applications, including financial risk management and climatology. More important than estimating the quantile itself is to insure zero coverage error, which implies the quantile…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-08 Douglas E. Johnston

In threshold-based anomaly detection, we want to tune the threshold of a detector to achieve an acceptable false alarm rate. However, tuning the threshold is often a non-trivial task due to unknown detector output distributions. A detector…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-02 David Umsonst , Justin Ruths , Henrik Sandberg

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey