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In this pedagogical text aimed at those wanting to start thinking about or brush up on probabilistic inference, I review the rules by which probability distribution functions can (and cannot) be combined. I connect these rules to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-22 David W. Hogg

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The work is devoted to the construction of a new interval arithmetic which would combine algorithmic efficiency and high quality estimation of the ranges of expressions.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Dmitry A. Skorik

A correspondence between arbitrary Fourier series and certain analytic functions on the unit disk of the complex plane is established. The expression of the Fourier coefficients is derived from the structure of complex analysis. The…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2015-03-25 Jorge L. deLyra

Context. In previous work, we developed a quasi-Gaussian approximation for the likelihood of correlation functions, which, in contrast to the usual Gaussian approach, incorporates fundamental mathematical constraints on correlation…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-21 Philipp Wilking , Randolf Röseler , Peter Schneider

A novel functional integral formulation of quantum mechanics for non-Lagrangian systems is presented. The new approach, which we call "stringy quantization," is based solely on classical equations of motion and is free of any ambiguity…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-09-08 Denis Kochan

A number of fundamental quantities in statistical signal processing and information theory can be expressed as integral functions of two probability density functions. Such quantities are called density functionals as they map density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Alan Wisler , Visar Berisha , Andreas Spanias , Alfred O. Hero

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method for hierarchical modelling on a set of related density functions, where grouped data in the form of samples from each density function are available. Borrowing strength across the groups is a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-31 G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Graphical models express conditional independence relationships among variables. Although methods for vector-valued data are well established, functional data graphical models remain underdeveloped. We introduce a notion of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Hongxiao Zhu , Nate Strawn , David B. Dunson

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

Many complex systems are characterized by intriguing spatio-temporal structures. Their mathematical description relies on the analysis of appropriate correlation functions. Functional integral techniques provide a unifying formalism that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-12 Uwe C. Tauber

In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

A key idea in convex optimization theory is to use well-structured affine functions to approximate general functions, leading to impactful developments in conjugate functions and convex duality theory. This raises the question: what are the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Ningji Wei

We present a Bayesian approach for modeling multivariate, dependent functional data. To account for the three dominant structural features in the data--functional, time dependent, and multivariate components--we extend hierarchical dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

My dissertation revolves around Bayesian approaches towards constrained statistical inference in the factor analysis (FA) model. Two interconnected types of restricted-model selection are considered. These types have a natural connection to…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-13 Carel F. W. Peeters

We apply Bayesian statistics to the estimation of correlation functions. We give the probability distributions of auto- and cross-correlations as functions of the data. Our procedure uses the measured data optimally and informs about the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-27 Angel Gutierrez-Rubio , Juan S. Rojas-Arias , Jun Yoneda , Seigo Tarucha , Daniel Loss , Peter Stano

This expository paper discusses Bayesian decision analysis perspectives on problems of constrained forecasting. Foundational and pedagogic discussion contrasts decision analytic approaches with the traditional, but typically inappropriate,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Mike West

Context: Two-point correlation functions are used throughout cosmology as a measure for the statistics of random fields. When used in Bayesian parameter estimation, their likelihood function is usually replaced by a Gaussian approximation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-07 David Keitel , Peter Schneider

Combining a set of existing constraint solvers into an integrated system of cooperating solvers is a useful and economic principle to solve hybrid constraint problems. In this paper we show that this approach can also be used to integrate…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Petra Hofstedt , Peter Pepper

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela