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Reliable uncertainty estimates are an important tool for helping autonomous agents or human decision makers understand and leverage predictive models. However, existing approaches to estimating uncertainty largely ignore the possibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani , James Weimer , Insup Lee

In this work, we study the generalization capability of algorithms from an information-theoretic perspective. It has been shown that the expected generalization error of an algorithm is bounded from above by a function of the relative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

We derive upper and lower bounds on the expectation of $f(\mathbf{S})$ under dependence uncertainty, i.e. when the marginal distributions of the random vector $\mathbf{S}=(S_1,\dots,S_d)$ are known but their dependence structure is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon

Fingerprinting arguments, first introduced by Bun, Ullman, and Vadhan (STOC 2014), are the most widely used method for establishing lower bounds on the sample complexity or error of approximately differentially private (DP) algorithms.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Naty Peter , Eliad Tsfadia , Jonathan Ullman

Modern scientific computational methods are undergoing a transformative change; big data and statistical learning methods now have the potential to outperform the classical first-principles modeling paradigm. This book bridges this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-22 John Harlim

The extremum value theorem for function spaces plays the central role in optimal control. It is known that computation of optimal control actions and policies is often prone to numerical errors which may be related to computability issues.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Pavel Osinenko , Stefan Streif

This paper explores the critical role of differentiation approaches for data-driven differential equation discovery. Accurate derivatives of the input data are essential for reliable algorithmic operation, particularly in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Mikhail Masliaev , Ilya Markov , Alexander Hvatov

This study addresses the interpretable estimation of price bounds in the context of price optimization. In recent years, price-optimization methods have become indispensable for maximizing revenue and profits. However, effective application…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Shunnosuke Ikeda , Naoki Nishimura , Shunji Umetani

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Prasanna Sattigeri , Peer-Timo Bremer

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g. rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Awan Afiaz , Jeffrey T. Leek , Tyler H. McCormick

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

We present three different methods to estimate error bars on the predictions made using a neural network. All of them represent lower bounds for the extrapolation errors. For example, we did not include an analysis on robustness against…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-08-11 A. Pastore , M. Carnini

Probabilistic programs often trade accuracy for efficiency, and thus may, with a small probability, return an incorrect result. It is important to obtain precise bounds for the probability of these errors, but existing verification…

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

Programs with floating-point computations are often derived from mathematical models or designed with the semantics of the real numbers in mind. However, for a given input, the computed path with floating-point numbers may differ from the…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Hélène Collavizza , Claude Michel , Michel Rueher

The governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems often become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at large scales. Surrogate models of the governing equations, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Joanna Zou , Han Cheng Lie , Youssef Marzouk

The single exponential (SE) and double exponential (DE) formulas are widely recognized as efficient quadrature formulas for evaluating integrals with endpoint singularity. For integrals exhibiting algebraic singularity, explicit error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Tomoaki Okayama , Kosei Arakawa , Ryo Kamigaki , Eita Yabumoto

The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), a well-known lower bound on the performance of any unbiased parameter estimator, has been used to study a wide variety of problems. However, to obtain the CRB, requires an analytical expression for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

We obtain an expression for the error in the approximation of $f(A) \boldsymbol{b}$ and $\boldsymbol{b}^T f(A) \boldsymbol{b}$ with rational Krylov methods, where $A$ is a symmetric matrix, $\boldsymbol{b}$ is a vector and the function $f$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Igor Simunec

The aim in model order reduction is to approximate an input-output map described by a large-scale dynamical system with a low-dimensional and cheaper-to-evaluate reduced order model. While high fidelity can be achieved by a variety of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Björn Liljegren-Sailer
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