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Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

We establish here a Quantitative Central Limit Theorem (in Wasserstein distance) for the Euler-Poincar\'{e} Characteristic of excursion sets of random spherical eigenfunctions in dimension 2. Our proof is based upon a decomposition of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Valentina Cammarota , Domenico Marinucci

The goal of this paper is to give confidence regions for the excursion set of a spatial function above a given threshold from repeated noisy observations on a fine grid of fixed locations. Given an asymptotically Gaussian estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-29 Max Sommerfeld , Stephen Sain , Armin Schwartzman

The problem of estimating the parameters of a linear regression model $Z(s,t)=m_1g_1(s,t)+ \cdots + m_pg_p(s,t)+U(s,t)$ based on observations of $Z$ on a spatial domain $G$ of special shape is considered, where the driving process $U$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Sándor Baran , Kinga Sikolya

The max-stable H\"usler-Reiss distribution which arises as the limit distribution of maxima of bivariate Gaussian triangular arrays has been shown to be useful in various extreme value models. For such triangular arrays, this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-25 E. Hashorva , Z. Peng , Z. Weng

For a smooth, stationary Gaussian field $f$ on Euclidean space with fast correlation decay, there is a critical level $\ell_c$ such that the excursion set $\{f\geq\ell\}$ contains a (unique) unbounded component if and only if $\ell<\ell_c$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Michael McAuley

Planets on eccentric orbits have a higher geometric probability of transiting their host star. By application of Bayes' theorem, we reverse this logic to show that the eccentricity distribution of transiting planets is positively biased.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 David M. Kipping

We consider the zeroes of a random Gaussian Entire Function f and show that their basins under the gradient flow of the random potential U partition the complex plane into domains of equal area. We find three characteristic exponents 1,…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fedor Nazarov , Mikhail Sodin , Alexander Volberg

We study different ways of determining the mean distance $ < r_n >$ between a reference point and its $n$-th neighbour among random points distributed with uniform density in a $D$-dimensional Euclidean space. First we present a heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pratip Bhattacharyya , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

The convergence of the first order Euler scheme and an approximative variant thereof, along with convergence rates, are established for rough differential equations driven by c\`adl\`ag paths satisfying a suitable criterion, namely the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Andrew L. Allan , Anna P. Kwossek , Chong Liu , David J. Prömel

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

In a previous paper, we studied the ergodic properties of an Euler scheme of a stochastic differential equation with a Gaussian additive noise in order to approximate the stationary regime of such equation. We now consider the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Serge Cohen , Fabien Panloup , Samy Tindel

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

We are interested in creating statistical methods to provide informative summaries of random fields through the geometry of their excursion sets. To this end, we introduce an estimator for the length of the perimeter of excursion sets of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

We focus on the problem of estimating and quantifying uncertainties on the excursion set of a function under a limited evaluation budget. We adopt a Bayesian approach where the objective function is assumed to be a realization of a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Dario Azzimonti , Julien Bect , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper focuses on mean-square approximations of a generalized A\"it-Sahalia interest rate model with Poisson jumps. The main challenge in the construction and analysis of time-discrete numerical schemes is caused by a drift that blows…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Yingsong Jiang , Ruishu Liu , Minhong Xu

The Eulerian extension number of any graph~\(H\) (i.e. the minimum number of edges needed to be added to make~\(H\) Eulerian) is at least~\(t(H),\) half the number of odd degree vertices of~\(H.\) In this paper we consider an inhomogenous…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

The paper characterizes uniform convergence rate for general classes of wavelet expansions of stationary Gaussian random processes. The convergence in probability is considered.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-08 Andriy Olenko , Yuriy Kozachenko , Olga Polosmak