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We describe large deviations for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\bbS_N^{(\nu)}(t)=N^{-\nu}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_\nu\leq Nt}\xi(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimes\xi(k_\nu)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Yuri Kifer , Ofer Zeitouni

Axially symmetric processes on spheres, for which the second-order dependency structure may substantially vary with shifts in latitude, are a prominent alternative to model the spatial uncertainty of natural variables located over large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Alfredo Alegría , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

This work gives a general approach to the determination of the asymptotic behavior of the sums of functions of primes based on the distribution of primes. It refines the estimate of the remainder term of the asymptotic expansion of the sums…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-27 Victor Volfson

The sharp asymptotics for the L^2-quantization errors of Gaussian measures on a Hilbert space and, in particular, for Gaussian processes is derived. The condition imposed is regular variation of the eigenvalues.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Harald Luschgy , Gilles Pages

A special type of geometric situation in ensembles of non-intersecting paths occurs when the non-intersecting trajectories are required to be nonnegative so that the limit shape becomes tangential to the hard-edge $0$. The local fluctuation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Junwen Liu , Luming Yao , Lun Zhang

The aim of this paper is to study the laws of the exponential functionals of the processes $X$ with independent increments, namely $$I_t= \int _0^t\exp(-X_s)ds, \,\, t\geq 0,$$ and also $$I_{\infty}= \int _0^{\infty}\exp(-X_s)ds.$$ Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-20 L. Vostrikova

We obtain asymptotic expansions for probabilities $\mathbb{P}(S_N=k)$ of partial sums of uniformly bounded integer-valued functionals $S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N f_n(X_n)$ of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains. The expansions involve…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Yeor Hafouta

This paper develops further and systematically the asymptotic expansion theory that was initiated by Foias and Saut in [11]. We study the long-time dynamics of a large class of dissipative systems of nonlinear ordinary differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Dat Cao , Luan Hoang

This paper discusses infill asymptotics for logistic regression estimators for spatio-temporal point processes whose intensity functions are of log-linear form. We establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality for the parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-26 M. N. M. van Lieshout , C. Lu

We consider expansive homeomorphisms with the specification property. We give a new simple proof of a large deviation principle for Gibbs measures corresponding to a regular potential and we establish a general symmetry of the rate function…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-26 Christian Maes , Evgeny Verbitskiy

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

With motivation from K. D\c{e}bicki and P. Kisowski (2007), in this paper we derive the exact tail asymptotics of $\alpha(t)$-locally stationary Gaussian processes with non-constant variance functions. We show that some certain variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Long Bai

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are commonly used to model dynamic behavior of a system. Because many parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from the observed data, there is growing interest in statistics to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Xin Qi , Hongyu Zhao

We propose a form factor approach for the computation of the large distance asymptotic behavior of correlation functions in quantum critical (integrable) models. In the large distance regime we reduce the summation over all excited states…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-05-30 N. Kitanine , K. K. Kozlowski , J. M. Maillet , N. A. Slavnov , V. Terras

We study the small-time asymptotics of sample paths of L\'evy processes and L\'evy-type processes. Namely, we investigate under which conditions the limit $$\limsup_{t \to 0} \frac{1}{f(t)} |X_t-X_0|$$ is finite resp.\ infinite with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Franziska Kühn

Let $G=\{G(x),x\ge 0\}$ be a mean zero Gaussian process with stationary increments and set $\sigma^2(|x-y|)= E(G(x)-G(y))^2$. Let $f$ be a function with $Ef^{2}(\eta)<\ff$, where $\eta=N(0,1)$. When $\sigma^2$ is regularly varying at zero…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-15 Michael Marcus , Jay Rosen

By extending the methods in Peligrad et al. (2014a, b), we establish exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics for linear random fields with independent innovations. These results are useful for studying nonparametric regression with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Hailin Sang , Yimin Xiao