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Via operator theoretic methods, we formalize the concentration phenomenon for a given observable `$r$' of a discrete time Markov chain with `$\mu_{\pi}$' as invariant ergodic measure, possibly having support on an unbounded state space. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We apply the stochastic approximation method to construct a large class of recursive kernel estimators of a probability density, including the one introduced by Hall and Patil (1994). We study the properties of these estimators and compare…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-21 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Yousri Slaoui

As a starting point we prove a functional central limit theorem for estimators of the invariant measure of a geometrically ergodic Harris-recurrent Markov chain in a multi-scale space. This allows to construct confidence bands for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

This paper proposes nonparametric two-sample tests for the direct comparison of the probabilities of a particular transition between states of a continuous time nonhomogeneous Markov process with a finite state space. The proposed tests are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-24 Giorgos Bakoyannis

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

This paper introduces a quasi-Bayesian method that integrates frequentist nonparametric estimation with Bayesian inference in a two-stage process. Applied to an endogenous discrete choice model, the approach first uses kernel or sieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-20 Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating a Markov chain $X$(signal) from its noisy partial information $Y$, when the transition probability kernel depends on some unknown parameters. Our goal is to compute the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Papavasiliou

In this paper, we present a nonparametric method to estimate the heterogeneity of a random medium from the angular distribution of intensity transmitted through a slab of random material. Our approach is based on the modeling of forward…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-06 Nicolas Le Bihan , Ludovic Margerin

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

In this paper we study the transition densities for a large class of non-symmetric Markov processes whose jumping kernels decay exponentially or subexponentially. We obtain their upper bounds which also decay at the same rate as their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Panki Kim , Jaehun Lee

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

In this paper, the panel count data analysis for recurrent events is considered. Such analysis is useful for studying tumor or infection recurrences in both clinical trial and observational studies. A bivariate Gaussian Cox process model is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Ye Liang , Yang Li , Bin Zhang

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

In this paper we are looking for quantitative estimates for the convergene to equilibrium of non reversible Markov processes, especialy in short times. The models studied are simple enough to get an explicit expression of the L2 distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Pierre Monmarché , Laurent Miclo

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

A novel strategy that combines a given collection of $\pi$-reversible Markov kernels is proposed. At each Markov transition, one of the available kernels is selected via a state-dependent probability distribution. In contrast to random-scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Florian Maire , Pierre Vandekerkhove

Nonparametric density estimation is considered for a discretely observed stationary continuous-time process. For each of three given time sampling procedures either random or deterministic, we establish that histograms and frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-19 François-Xavier Lejeune

For a (non-symmetric) strong Markov process $X$, consider the Feynman--Kac semigroup \[T_t^Af(x):=\mathbb {E}^x\bigl[e^{A_t}f(X_t)\bigr],\quad x\in {\mathbb {R}^n}, t>0,\] where $A$ is a continuous additive functional of $X$ associated with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Victoria Knopova