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In Change point detection task Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) is sequentially applied in a sliding window procedure. Its high values indicate changes of parametric distribution in the data sequence. Correspondingly LRT values require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Nazar Buzun , Valeriy Avanesov

We address the problem of estimating the spherical-harmonic power spectrum of a statistically isotropic scalar signal from noise-contaminated data on a region of the unit sphere. Three different methods of spectral estimation are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 F. A. Dahlen , Frederik J Simons

Irregular functional data in which densely sampled curves are observed over different ranges pose a challenge for modeling and inference, and sensitivity to outlier curves is a concern in applications. Motivated by applications in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-14 Yeonjoo Park , Xiaohui Chen , Douglas G. Simpson

We suggest a way to implement conformal bootstrap program for the case of the ${\cal N}=1$ SCFT in three dimensions using the previous analysis of the Ising model in \cite{CB}. We find approximate values for the conformal dimensions of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-10-31 Denis Bashkirov

A bootstrap procedure for constructing prediction bands for a stationary functional time series is proposed. The procedure exploits a general vector autoregressive representation of the time-reversed series of Fourier coefficients appearing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Efstathios Paparoditis , Han Lin Shang

A method is developed for fitting theoretically predicted astronomical spectra to an observed spectrum. Using a hierarchical Bayesian principle, the method takes both systematic and statistical measurement errors into account, which has not…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Z. Shkedy , L. Decin , G. Molenberghs , C. Aerts

Astronomers generally assume planet-forming disks are aligned with the rotation of their host star. However, recent observations have shown evidence of warping in protoplanetary disks. One can measure the statistical alignment between the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-07 Matthew J. Fields , Andrew W. Mann , Aurora Kesseli , Andrew W. Boyle

The purpose of the present paper is to assess the efficacy of confidence intervals for Rosenthal's fail-safe number. Although Rosenthal's estimator is highly used by researchers, its statistical properties are largely unexplored. First of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-07 Konstantinos C. Fragkos , Michail Tsagris , Christos C. Frangos

This paper derives central limit and bootstrap theorems for probabilities that sums of centered high-dimensional random vectors hit hyperrectangles and sparsely convex sets. Specifically, we derive Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Dan Soriano , Eli Ben-Michael , Peter J. Bickel , Avi Feller , Samuel D. Pimentel

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

We study the bias of the isotonic regression estimator. While there is extensive work characterizing the mean squared error of the isotonic regression estimator, relatively little is known about the bias. In this paper, we provide a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ran Dai , Hyebin Song , Rina Foygel Barber , Garvesh Raskutti

This paper examines estimation of skill formation models, a critical component in understanding human capital development and its effects on individual outcomes. Existing estimators are either based on moment conditions and only applicable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-28 Antonia Antweiler , Joachim Freyberger

Let $X_1,\dots, X_n,\dots$ be i.i.d.\ $d$-dimensional random vectors with common distribution $F$. Then $S_n = X_1+\dots+X_n$ has distribution $F^n$ (degree is understood in the sense of convolution). Let $$ \rho_{\mathcal{C}_d}(F,G) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We present the first study of the isotropy of the distribution of morphological types of galaxies in the Local Universe out to around 200 Mpc using more than 60,000 galaxies from the HyperLeda database. We divide the sky into two opposite…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-01-18 Behnam Javanmardi , Pavel Kroupa

In a landmark paper, Abadie and Imbens (2008) showed that the naive bootstrap is inconsistent when applied to nearest neighbor matching estimators of the average treatment effect with a fixed number of matches. Since then, this finding has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Ziming Lin , Fang Han

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

Monitoring machine learning models once they are deployed is challenging. It is even more challenging to decide when to retrain models in real-case scenarios when labeled data is beyond reach, and monitoring performance metrics becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

We investigate properties of a bootstrap-based methodology for testing hypotheses about equality of certain characteristics of the distributions between different populations in the context of functional data. The suggested testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Standard maximum-likelihood estimators for binary-star and exoplanet eccentricities are biased high, in the sense that the estimated eccentricity tends to be larger than the true eccentricity. As with most non-trivial observables, a simple…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-19 David W. Hogg , Adam D. Myers , Jo Bovy
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