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We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

We study the distribution of spacings between squares modulo q, where q is square-free and highly composite, in the limit as the number of prime factors of q goes to infinity. We show that all correlation functions are Poissonian, which…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Kurlberg , Z. Rudnick

It is well-known that, for sufficiently mixing dynamical systems, the number of visits to balls and cylinders of vanishing measure is approximately Poisson compound distributed in the Kac scaling. Here we extend this kind of results when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Sandro Gallo , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

The Poisson probability distribution is frequently encountered in physical science measurements. In spite of the simplicity and familiarity of this distribution, there is considerable confusion among physicists concerning the description of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-22 Frank C. Porter

We examine shifted symplectic and Poisson structures on spaces of framed maps. We prove some results about shifted Poisson structures analogous to those in existing ones about symplectic structures. Then, we consider the space Map(X,D,Y) of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Theodore Spaide

We describe five types of results concerning information and concentration of discrete random variables, and relationships between them, motivated by their counterparts in the continuous case. The results we consider are information…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Oliver Johnson

The goal of this note is to show that continuous functions may be approximated using scattered translates of the Poisson kernel.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Jeff Ledford

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

We establish the Strong Poisson Hypothesis for symmetric closed networks. In particular, the asymptotic independence of the nodes -- as the size of the system tends to infinity -- is proved.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-27 Serge Pirogov , Alexander Rybko , Senya Shlosman , Alexander Vladimirov

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

We study the asymptotic consistency properties of $\alpha$-R\'enyi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Prateek Jaiswal , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

We discuss the asymptotic behaviour of models of lattice polygons, mainly on the square lattice. In particular, we focus on limiting area laws in the uniform perimeter ensemble where, for fixed perimeter, each polygon of a given area occurs…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-12-22 Christoph Richard

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions of regression coefficients in high-dimensional linear models as the number of dimensions grows with the number of observations. We show that the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Artin Armagan , David B. Dunson , Jaeyong Lee , Waheed U. Bajwa , Nate Strawn

We define the notion of asymptotically free for locally restricted compositions, which means roughly that large parts can often be replaced by any larger parts. Two well-known examples are Carlitz and alternating compositions. We show that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Edward A. Bender , E. Rodney Canfield , Zhicheng Gao

We consider expanding systems with invariant measures that are uniformly expanding everywhere except on a small measure set and show that the limiting statistics of hitting times for zero measure sets are compound Poisson provided the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Nicolai T A Haydn

We provide a Poisson approximation result for dependent thinnings of Gibbs point processes as well as qualitative and quantitative central limit theorems for geometric functionals of Gibbs point processes in increasing observation windows.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Christian Hirsch , Moritz Otto , Anne Marie Svane

We consider $N$ events that are defined on a common probability space. Those events shell have a common probability function that is symmetric with respect to interchanging the events. We ask for the probability distribution of the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Rüdiger Kürsten

In this paper, we investigate the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the maximum and minimum of multivariate Poisson distributions with three dependence structures, namely, the common shock, comonotonic shock and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Zheng Liu , Feifan Shi , Jing Yao , Yang Yang

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou
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