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In this paper, we consider a framework adapting the notion of cointegration when two asset prices are generated by a driftless It\^{o}-semimartingale featuring jumps with infinite activity, observed regularly and synchronously at high…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-24 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

A quantum system subjected to a strong continuous monitoring undergoes quantum jumps. This very well known fact hides a neglected subtlety: sharp scale-invariant fluctuations invariably decorate the jump process even in the limit where the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-11-19 Antoine Tilloy , Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard

A number of papers have examined various aspects of "random random" walks on finite groups; the purpose of this article is to provide a survey of this work and to show, bring together, and discuss some of the arguments and results in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin Hildebrand

We consider finitely generated free semigroup actions on a compact metric space and obtain quantitative information on Poincar\'e recurrence, average first return time and hitting frequency for the random orbits induced by the semigroup…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Maria Carvalho , Fagner B. Rodrigues , Paulo Varandas

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We consider reversible random walks in random environment obtained from symmetric long--range jump rates on a random point process. We prove almost sure transience and recurrence results under suitable assumptions on the point process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , A. Gaudilliere

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

The scope of this manuscript is to review some recent developments in statistics for discretely observed semimartingales which are motivated by applications for financial markets. Our journey through this area stops to take closer looks at…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger

We develop an asymptotic theory for the jump robust measurement of covariations in the context of stochastic evolution equation in infinite dimensions. Namely, we identify scaling limits for realized covariations of solution processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Dennis Schroers

Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

This work is concerned with tests on structural breaks in the spot volatility process of a general It\^o semimartingale based on discrete observations contaminated with i.i.d. microstructure noise. We construct a consistent test building up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Markus Bibinger , Mehmet Madensoy

By observing the equivalence of assertions on determining the jump of a function by its differentiated or integrated Fourier series, we generalize a previous result of Kvernadze, Hagstrom and Shapiro to the whole class of functions of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Muharem Avdispahić , Zenan Šabanac

This paper focuses on the task of detecting local episodes involving violation of the standard It\^o semimartingale assumption for financial asset prices in real time that might induce arbitrage opportunities. Our proposed detectors,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-21 Torben G. Andersen , Viktor Todorov , Bo Zhou

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent unbounded jump rates for the particles. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of jump rate and scaled position converges almost surely to a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Tetsuya Hattori

We analyze an optimal stopping problem with random maturity under a nonlinear expectation with respect to a weakly compact set of mutually singular probabilities $\mathcal{P}$. The maturity is specified as the hitting time to level $0$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-08 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

A fixed-confidence, finite-sample problem of active hypothesis testing arises in many safety-critical applications. Situated in the context of sequential hypothesis testing, this paper studies the effect of hypothesis elimination on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Ziyuan Lin , Hoang Ngoc Nguyen , Jie Xu , Ivan Ruchkin

In this article the almost semi-continuous step-process $\xi (t)$ is considered. The conditional characteristic functions of the jumps of $\xi (t)$ have the form $\mathrm{E} [ e^{i\alpha \xi_k}/\xi_k>0 ]=c(c-i\alpha)^{-1}$. For such…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 D. V. Gusak , E. V. Karnaukh

We present a comparative study of several algorithms for an in-plane random walk with a variable step. The goal is to check the efficiency of the algorithm in the case where the random walk terminates at some boundary. We recently found…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-17 Olga Klimenkova , Anton Yu. Menshutin , Lev N. Shchur