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Our purpose is to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest for controlled branching processes (CBPs) without prior knowledge of the maximum number of offspring that an individual can give birth to and without…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

The impact of the human activities can be evaluated by the Planetary Boundaries (PBs), however, so far it is not clear how to assess the influence of specific sociopolitical events (SPEs) on the Earth System (ES) and at the same measure,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-30 Orfeu Bertolami , Ricardo Elísio

Scientists often run experiments to distinguish competing theories. This requires patience, rigor, and ingenuity - there is often a large space of possible experiments one could run. But we need not comb this space by hand - if we represent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-18 Long Ouyang , Michael Henry Tessler , Daniel Ly , Noah Goodman

Uncovering the mechanism behind the scaling law in human trajectories is of fundamental significance in understanding many spatio-temporal phenomena. In combination of the exploration and the preferential returns, we propose a simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-24 Xiao-Pu Han , Xiang-Wen Wang , Xiao-Yong Yan , Bing-Hong Wang

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

The emergence of tools based on artificial intelligence has also led to the need of producing explanations which are understandable by a human being. In most approaches, the system is considered a black box, making it difficult to generate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Germán Vidal

We study a stochastic linear discrete metapolulation model to understand the effect of risk spreading by dispersion. We calculate analytically the stable distribution of populations that live in different habitats. The result shows that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-12 Satoru Morita , Jin Yoshimura

We demonstrate that the algorithmic information content of a system is deeply connected to its potential dynamics, thus affording an avenue for moving systems in the information-theoretic space and controlling them in the phase space. To…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-06 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Francesco Marabita , Yue Deng , Szabolcs Elias , Angelika Schmidt , Gordon Ball , Jesper Tegnér

The goal of this paper is to provide mathematically rigorous tools for modelling the evolution of a community of interacting individuals. We model the population by a measure space where the measure determines the abundance of individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons

We propose ClusPath, a novel algorithm for detecting general evolution tendencies in a population of entities. We show how abstract notions, such as the Swedish socio-economical model (in a political dataset) or the companies fiscal…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-12-14 Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Julien Velcin , Stéphane Bonnevay , Stéphane Lallich

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Recent advances in neural recording technology allow simultaneously recording action potentials from hundreds to thousands of neurons in awake, behaving animals. However, characterizing spike patterns in the resulting data, and linking…

We identify a mechanism for biological spatial pattern formation arising when the signals that mediate interactions between individuals in a population have pulsed character. Our general population-signal framework shows that while for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-15 Eduardo H. Colombo , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

Social evolutionary theory seeks to explain increases in the scale and complexity of human societies, from origins to present. Over the course of the twentieth century, social evolutionary theory largely fell out of favor as a way of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-02-27 David H. Wolpert , Kyle Harper

To study implementations and optimisations of interaction net systems we propose a calculus to allow us to reason about nets, a concrete data-structure that is in close correspondence with the calculus, and a low-level language to create…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Abubakar Hassan , Ian Mackie , Shinya Sato

Humans work together to solve common problems by having discussions, explaining, and agreeing or disagreeing with each other. Similarly, if a system can have discussions with humans when solving tasks, it can improve the system's…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Masahiro Kaneko , Graham Neubig , Naoaki Okazaki

Modeling how human moves in the space is useful for policy-making in transportation, public safety, and public health. Human movements can be viewed as a dynamic process that human transits between states (\eg, locations) over time. In the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Hua Wei , Dongkuan Xu , Junjie Liang , Zhenhui Li

We discuss the relevance of studying ecology within the framework of Complexity Science from a statistical mechanics approach. Ecology is concerned with understanding how systems level properties emerge out of the multitude of interactions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-14 Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Elsa Arcaute