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A standard result from auction theory is that bidding truthfully in a second price auction is a weakly dominant strategy. The result, however, does not apply in the presence of Cost Per Action (CPA) constraints. Such constraints exist, for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Benjamin Heymann

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Combinatorial auctions are formulated as frustrated lattice gases on sparse random graphs, allowing the determination of the optimal revenue by methods of statistical physics. Transitions between computationally easy and hard regimes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Tobias Galla , Michele Leone , Matteo Marsili , Mauro Sellitto , Martin Weigt , Riccardo Zecchina

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in online display advertising. The embedding-based neural networks have been proposed to learn both explicit feature interactions through a shallow component and deep feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Wei Deng , Junwei Pan , Tian Zhou , Deguang Kong , Aaron Flores , Guang Lin

Predicting click and conversion probabilities when bidding on ad exchanges is at the core of the programmatic advertising industry. Two separated lines of previous works respectively address i) the prediction of user conversion probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Eustache Diemert , Julien Meynet , Pierre Galland , Damien Lefortier

Shilling is the use of artificial bids to make competition appear stronger and push prices upward. We study repeated first-price auctions in which shilling affects feedback but not allocation: the learner wins or loses against the real…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Luigi Foscari , Matilde Tullii , Vianney Perchet

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task for many industrial systems, such as display advertising and recommender systems. Recently, modeling user behavior sequences attracts much attention and shows great improvements in the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Yufei Feng , Fuyu Lv , Binbin Hu , Fei Sun , Kun Kuang , Yang Liu , Qingwen Liu , Wenwu Ou

In markets such as digital advertising auctions, bidders want to maximize value rather than payoff. This is different to the utility functions typically assumed in auction theory and leads to different strategies and outcomes. We refer to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Salman Fadaei , Martin Bichler

Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

In the field of deep learning based computer vision, the development of deep object detection has led to unique paradigms (e.g., two-stage or set-based) and architectures (e.g., Faster-RCNN or DETR) which enable outstanding performance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Denis Huseljic , Marek Herde , Mehmet Muejde , Bernhard Sick

In this paper, we propose a novel sealed-bid auction framework to address the problem of dynamic spectrum allocation in cognitive radio (CR) networks. We design an optimal auction mechanism that maximizes the moderator's expected utility,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-11-16 V. Sriram Siddhardh Nadendla , Swastik Brahma , Pramod K. Varshney

In online advertising, search engines sell ad placements for keywords continuously through auctions. This problem can be seen as an infinitely repeated game since the auction is executed whenever a user performs a query with the keyword. As…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Francesco Belardinelli , Wojtek Jamroga , Vadim Malvone , Munyque Mittelmann , Aniello Murano , Laurent Perrussel

In online ad markets, a rising number of advertisers are employing bidding agencies to participate in ad auctions. These agencies are specialized in designing online algorithms and bidding on behalf of their clients. Typically, an agency…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Yurong Chen , Qian Wang , Zhijian Duan , Haoran Sun , Zhaohua Chen , Xiang Yan , Xiaotie Deng

A long noted difficulty when assessing the reliability (or calibration) of forecasting systems is that reliability, in general, is a hypothesis not about a finite dimensional parameter but about an entire functional relationship. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-09 Jochen Bröcker

We consider the problem of an auctioneer who faces the task of selling a good (drawn from a known distribution) to a set of buyers, when the auctioneer does not have the capacity to describe to the buyers the exact identity of the good that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Shaddin Dughmi , Nicole Immorlica , Aaron Roth

Today, AI is being increasingly used to help human experts make decisions in high-stakes scenarios. In these scenarios, full automation is often undesirable, not only due to the significance of the outcome, but also because human experts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yunfeng Zhang , Q. Vera Liao , Rachel K. E. Bellamy

Contemporary real-world online ad auctions differ from canonical models [Edelman et al., 2007; Varian, 2009] in at least four ways: (1) values and click-through rates can depend upon users' search queries, but advertisers can only partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Ming Chen , Sareh Nabi , Marciano Siniscalchi

This paper describes an engine to optimize web publisher revenues from second-price auctions. These auctions are widely used to sell online ad spaces in a mechanism called real-time bidding (RTB). Optimization within these auctions is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Pedro Chahuara , Nicolas Grislain , Grégoire Jauvion , Jean-Michel Renders

Previous works suggested the use of Branch and Bound techniques for finding the optimal allocation in (multi-unit) combinatorial auctions. They remarked that Linear Programming could provide a good upper-bound to the optimal allocation, but…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Rica Gonen , Daniel Lehmann

We study the problem of achieving high efficiency in iterative combinatorial auctions (ICAs). ICAs are a kind of combinatorial auction where the auctioneer interacts with bidders to gather their valuation information using a limited number…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Ryota Maruo , Hisashi Kashima
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