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We propose an online parametric estimation method of stochastic differential equations with discrete observations and misspecified modelling based on online gradient descent. Our study provides uniform upper bounds for the risks of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Shogo Nakakita

Recent studies indicate that in many situations service times are affected by the experienced queueing delay of the particular customer. This effect has been detected in different areas, such as health care, call centers and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , René Bekker , Vidyadhar Kulkarni

It is well known that building analytical performance models in practice is difficult because it requires a considerable degree of proficiency in the underlying mathematics. In this paper, we propose a machine-learning approach to derive…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Giulio Garbi , Emilio Incerto , Mirco Tribastone

We consider the problem of scheduling in constrained queueing networks with a view to minimizing packet delay. Modern communication systems are becoming increasingly complex, and are required to handle multiple types of traffic with widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Mohammani Zaki , Avi Mohan , Aditya Gopalan , Shie Mannor

Recent studies have shown that the majority of today's internet traffic is related to Peer to Peer (P2P) traffic. The study of bandwidth in P2P networks is very important. Because it helps us in more efficient capacity planning and QoS…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-07-15 Kiarash Mizanian , Mehdi Vasef , Morteza Analoui

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for estimating the states and time-varying parameters of nonlinear systems. We consider the case where observability of the parameters depends on the excitation of the system and may be absent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

We propose an algorithm which predicts each subsequent time step relative to the previous timestep of intractable short rate model (when adjusted for drift and overall distribution of previous percentile result) and show that the method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Anna Knezevic , Nikolai Dokuchaev

Backpropagation with gradient descent is a common optimization strategy employed by most neural network architectures in machine learning. However, finding optimal hyperparameters to guide training has proven challenging. While it is widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Vy Bui , Hang Yu , Karthik Kantipudi , Ziv Yaniv , Stefan Jaeger

We discuss guidelines for evaluating the performance of parameterized stochastic solvers for optimization problems, with particular attention to systems that employ novel hardware, such as digital quantum processors running variational…

We consider a new framework where a continuous, though bounded, random variable has unobserved bounds that vary over time. In the context of univariate time series, we look at the bounds as parameters of the distribution of the bounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 Amandine Pierrot , Pierre Pinson

We construct an unbiased estimator for function value evaluated at the solution of a partial differential equation with random coefficients. We show that the variance and expected computational cost of our estimator are finite and our…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose Blanchet , Fengpei Li , Xiaoou Li

Knowledge gradient is a design principle for developing Bayesian sequential sampling policies to solve optimization problems. In this paper we consider the ranking and selection problem in the presence of covariates, where the best…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Liang Ding , L. Jeff Hong , Haihui Shen , Xiaowei Zhang

Network data are often sampled with auxiliary information or collected through the observation of a complex system over time, leading to multiple network snapshots indexed by a continuous variable. Many methods in statistical network…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

We apply recent methods in stochastic data analysis for discovering a set of few stochastic variables that represent the relevant information on a multivariate stochastic system, used as input for artificial neural networks models for air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Ana Russo , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind

In this article, we survey the main models, techniques, concepts, and results centered on the design and performance evaluation of engineered systems that rely on a utilization-dependent component (UDC) whose operation may depend on its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Varun Jog , Richard J. La , Michael Lin , Nuno C. Martins

Networks serve as a tool used to examine the large-scale connectivity patterns in complex systems. Modelling their generative mechanism nonparametrically is often based on step-functions, such as the stochastic block models. These models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Arthur Verdeyme , Sofia C. Olhede

Stochastic neurons can be useful for a number of reasons in deep learning models, but in many cases they pose a challenging problem: how to estimate the gradient of a loss function with respect to the input of such stochastic neurons, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Yoshua Bengio

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and projected stochastic gradient descent (PSGD) are scalable algorithms to compute model parameters in unconstrained and constrained optimization problems. In comparison with SGD, PSGD forces its iterative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ruiqi Liu , Mingao Yuan , Zuofeng Shang