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Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Wind power and other forms of renewable energy sources play an ever more important role in the energy supply of today's power grids. Forecasting renewable energy sources has therefore become essential in balancing the power grid. While a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

Renewable resources are strongly dependent on local and large-scale weather situations. Skillful subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts -- beyond two weeks and up to two months -- can offer significant socioeconomic advantages to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Maximilian Springenberg , Noelia Otero , Yuxin Xue , Jackie Ma

Accurate forecasts of extreme wind speeds are of high importance for many applications. Such forecasts are usually generated by ensembles of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which however can be biased and have errors in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jakob Benjamin Wessel , Christopher A. T. Ferro , Gavin R. Evans , Frank Kwasniok

Many scientific and industrial processes produce data that is best analysed as vectors of relative values, often called compositions or proportions. The Dirichlet distribution is a natural distribution to use for composition or proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Sean van der Merwe

Power curves capture the relationship between wind speed and output power for a specific wind turbine. Accurate regression models of this function prove useful in monitoring, maintenance, design, and planning. In practice, however, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 L. A. Bull , P. A. Gardner , T. J. Rogers , N. Dervilis , E. J. Cross , E. Papatheou , A. E. Maguire , C. Campos , K. Worden

Modelling the intermittency of wind speed has got significant relevance on many fields, including wind power generation and distribution. Most of the available modelling techniques assume the temporal fluctuations in the wind is stochastic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-15 G V Drisya , Alex Thumba

The gap between data production and user ability to access, compute and produce meaningful results calls for tools that address the challenges associated with big data volume, velocity and variety. One of the key hurdles is the inability to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Vijay Gadepally , Jeremy Kepner

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a flexible and useful model which has been used in several fields. In this paper, a new bimodal version of this distribution based on the alpha-skew-normal distribution is established. We discuss some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Roberto Vila , Jeremias Leão , Helton Saulo , Mirza Nabeed , Manoel Santos-Neto

During the last decades, international attempts have been made to develop realistic space weather prediction tools aiming to forecast the conditions on the Sun and in the interplanetary environment. These efforts have led to the development…

The Weibull distribution, with shape parameter $k>0$ and scale parameter $\lambda>0$, is one of the most popular parametric distributions in survival analysis with complete or censored data. Although inference of the parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Stochastic wind sea is an intermediate small-scale physical process responsible for the state of the atmospheric boundary layer and the water upper layer, having dynamics of all scales. To describe behavior of this system, one could use the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-09-13 Vladislav Polnikov

The above paper presents some considerations regarding the modelling of wind energy conversion systems (WECS). There are presented practical problems of grid integration of wind turbines, the usage of general system models, respectively of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Iosif Szeidert , Octavian Prostean , Ioan Filip , Nicolae Budisan

Developing accurate computational models of wildfire dynamics is increasingly important due to the substantial and expanding negative impacts of wildfire events on human health, infrastructure, and the environment. Wildfire spread and…

In spite of a large number of papers dedicated to study MHD turbulence in the solar wind there are still some simple questions which have never been sufficiently addressed like: a)do we really know how the magnetic field vector orientation…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 R. Bruno , B. Bavassano , V. Carbone , L. Primavera , F. Malara , L. Sorriso-Valvo , P. Veltri

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating an extreme quantile of a Weibull tail-distribution. The new extreme quantile estimator has a reduced bias compared to the more classical ones proposed in the literature. It is based on an…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-01 Jean Diebolt , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard , Armelle Guillou

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury
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