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A central capability of a long-lived reinforcement learning (RL) agent is to incrementally adapt its behavior as its environment changes, and to incrementally build upon previous experiences to facilitate future learning in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Zhi Wang , Chunlin Chen , Daoyi Dong

This paper introduces distribution-based prediction, a novel approach to using Large Language Models (LLMs) as predictive tools by interpreting output token probabilities as distributions representing the models' learned representation of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Caleb Bradshaw , Caelen Miller , Sean Warnick

Difficulties may arise when analyzing longitudinal data using mixed-effects models if there are nonparametric functions present in the linear predictor component. This study extends the use of semiparametric mixed-effects modeling in cases…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Mozhgan Taavoni , Mohammad Arashi

Linear mixed models (LMMs), which incorporate fixed and random effects, are key tools for analyzing heterogeneous data, such as in personalized medicine. Nowadays, this type of data is increasingly wide, sometimes containing thousands of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ryan Thompson , Matt P. Wand , Joanna J. J. Wang

Reduced-order dynamical models play a central role in developing our understanding of predictability of climate irrespective of whether we are dealing with the actual climate system or surrogate climate-models. In this context, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-11 B. T. Nadiga

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

Recurrent stochastic configuration networks (RSCNs) have shown great potential in modelling nonlinear dynamic systems with uncertainties. This paper presents an RSCN with hybrid regularization to enhance both the learning capacity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Gang Dang , Dianhui Wang

In this paper we develop a statistical theory and an implementation of deep learning models. We show that an elegant variable splitting scheme for the alternating direction method of multipliers optimises a deep learning objective. We allow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-22 Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard , Massoud Heidari

We present a predictor-corrector framework, called PicCoLO, that can transform a first-order model-free reinforcement or imitation learning algorithm into a new hybrid method that leverages predictive models to accelerate policy learning.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Ching-An Cheng , Xinyan Yan , Nathan Ratliff , Byron Boots

A mixture of factor analyzers is a semi-parametric density estimator that generalizes the well-known mixtures of Gaussians model by allowing each Gaussian in the mixture to be represented in a different lower-dimensional manifold. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-23 Heysem Kaya , Albert Ali Salah

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

Stable partitioned techniques for simulating unsteady fluid-structure interaction (FSI) are known to be computationally expensive when high added-mass is involved. Multiple coupling strategies have been developed to accelerate these…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Azzeddine Tiba , Thibault Dairay , Florian de Vuyst , Iraj Mortazavi , Juan-Pedro Berro Ramirez

We introduce the R package ContaminatedMixt, conceived to disseminate the use of mixtures of multivariate contaminated normal distributions as a tool for robust clustering and classification under the common assumption of elliptically…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-14 Antonio Punzo , Angelo Mazza , Paul D. McNicholas

Artificial intelligence and machine learning is enhancing electric grids by offering data analysis tools that can be used to operate the power grid more reliably. However, the complex nonlinear dynamics, particularly when coupled with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-15 Reza Saeed Kandezy , John Ning Jiang

Motivation: In recent years, the availability of multi-omics data has increased substantially. Multi-omics data integration methods mainly aim to leverage different molecular layers to gain a complete molecular description of biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Alessio Albanese , Wouter Kohlen , Pariya Behrouzi

We consider the problem of learning a mixture of linear regressions (MLRs). An MLR is specified by $k$ nonnegative mixing weights $p_1, \ldots, p_k$ summing to $1$, and $k$ unknown regressors $w_1,...,w_k\in\mathbb{R}^d$. A sample from the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-12-18 Sitan Chen , Jerry Li , Zhao Song

We extend the linear mixed-effects state model to accommodate the correlated individuals and investigate its parameter and state estimation based on disturbance smoothing in this paper. For parameter estimation, EM and score based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-03 Jie Zhou , Aiping Tang

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler