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Mixture of autoregressions (MoAR) models provide a model-based approach to the clustering of time series data. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of MoAR models requires the evaluation of products of large numbers of densities of normal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-19 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Pierre Orban , Pierre Bellec , Andrew L Janke

Statistical estimation often involves tradeoffs between expensive, high-quality measurements and a variety of lower-quality proxies. We introduce Multiple-Prediction-Powered Inference (MultiPPI): a general framework for constructing…

This paper considers nonlinear dynamic models where the main parameter of interest is a nonnegative matrix characterizing the network (contagion) effects. This network matrix is usually constrained either by assuming a limited number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

This paper deals with Elliptical Wishart distributions - which generalize the Wishart distribution - in the context of signal processing and machine learning. Two algorithms to compute the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) are proposed: a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Imen Ayadi , Florent Bouchard , Frédéric Pascal

We show that a maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation in agent-based models (ABMs) of opinion dynamics outperforms the typical simulation-based approach. Simulation-based approaches simulate the model repeatedly in search of a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jacopo Lenti , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

While one-dimensional Markov processes are well understood, going to higher dimensions there are only a few analytically solved Ising-like models, in practice requiring to use relatively costly, uncontrollable and inaccurate Monte-Carlo…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Jarek Duda

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is of key importance for inference in latent variable models including mixture of regressors and experts, missing observations. This paper introduces a novel EM algorithm, called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

Nonparametric maximum likelihood (NPML) for mixture models is a technique for estimating mixing distributions that has a long and rich history in statistics going back to the 1950s, and is closely related to empirical Bayes methods.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Long Feng , Lee H. Dicker

The maximum likelihood (ML) and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation techniques are widely used to address the direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation problems, an important topic in sensor array processing. Conventionally the ML estimators…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Xin Zhang , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Marius Pesavento

A major line of contemporary research on complex networks is based on the development of statistical models that specify the local motifs associated with macro-structural properties observed in actual networks. This statistical approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Maksym Byshkin , Alex Stivala , Antonietta Mira , Garry Robins , Alessandro Lomi

We propose a general information-theoretic approach called Seraph (SEmi-supervised metRic leArning Paradigm with Hyper-sparsity) for metric learning that does not rely upon the manifold assumption. Given the probability parameterized by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Gang Niu , Bo Dai , Makoto Yamada , Masashi Sugiyama

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and heuristic predictive estimation (HPE) are two widely used approaches in industrial uncertainty analysis. We review them from the point of view of decision theory, using Bayesian inference as a gold…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-23 Merlin Keller , Eric Parent , Alberto Pasanisi

Pointwise maximal leakage (PML) is a per-outcome privacy measure based on threat models from quantitative information flow. Privacy guarantees with PML rely on knowledge about the distribution that generated the private data. In this work,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Leonhard Grosse , Sara Saeidian , Mikael Skoglund , Tobias J. Oechtering

We develop the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations to probability distributions. The central results consist in (a) justifying the use of relative entropy as the uniquely natural criterion to select a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-24 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

This paper deals with parameter estimation when the data are randomly right censored. The maximum likelihood estimates from censored samples are obtained by using the expectation-maximization (EM) and Monte Carlo EM (MCEM) algorithms. We…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-20 Chanseok Park , Seong Beom Lee

In the recent years, information theory of quantum-mechanical systems have aroused the interest of many Theoretical Physicist. This due to the fact that it provides a deeper insight into the internal structure of the systems. Also, It is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-08-18 B. J. Falaye , K. J. Oyewumi , S. M. Ikhdair , M. Hamzavi

Statistical models are often defined by a generative process for simulating synthetic data, but this can lead to intractable likelihoods. Likelihood free inference (LFI) methods enable Bayesian inference to be performed in this case.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 David Chen , Xinwei Li , Eui-Jin Kim , Prateek Bansal , David Nott