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Forecasts for uncertain future events should be probabilistic. Probabilistic forecasts are commonly issued as prediction intervals, which provide a measure of uncertainty in the unknown outcome whilst being easier to understand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Sam Allen , Julia Burnello , Johanna Ziegel

We present a fast Markov Chain Monte-Carlo exploration of cosmological parameter space. We perform a joint analysis of results from recent CMB experiments and provide parameter constraints, including sigma_8, from the CMB independent of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Antony Lewis , Sarah Bridle

Uncertainty quantification in inverse medical imaging tasks with deep learning has received little attention. However, deep models trained on large data sets tend to hallucinate and create artifacts in the reconstructed output that are not…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-21 Max-Heinrich Laves , Malte Tölle , Tobias Ortmaier

Deconvolution of astronomical images is a key aspect of recovering the intrinsic properties of celestial objects, especially when considering ground-based observations. This paper explores the use of diffusion models (DMs) and the Diffusion…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Alessio Spagnoletti , Alexandre Boucaud , Marc Huertas-Company , Wassim Kabalan , Biswajit Biswas

We derive multiscale statistics for deconvolution in order to detect qualitative features of the unknown density. An important example covered within this framework is to test for local monotonicity on all scales simultaneously. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Axel Munk , Lutz Duembgen

Deconvolution is a statistical inverse problem to estimate the distribution of a random variable based on its noisy observations. Despite the extensive studies on the topic, deconvolution with unknown noise distribution remains as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Devavrat Shah , Dogyoon Song

In the present paper we consider the problem of Laplace deconvolution with noisy discrete non-equally spaced observations on a finite time interval. We propose a new method for Laplace deconvolution which is based on expansions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Fabienne Comte , Charles-A. Cuenod , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

Radio-astronomical observations are increasingly contaminated by interference, and suppression techniques become essential. A powerful candidate for interference mitigation is adaptive spatial filtering. We study the effect of spatial…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Amir Leshem , Alle-Jan van der Veen

Approximating integrals is a fundamental task in probability theory and statistical inference, and their applied fields of signal processing, and Bayesian learning, as soon as expectations over probability distributions must be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solal Martin , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

Recovering sharper images from blurred observations, referred to as deconvolution, is an ill-posed problem where classical approaches often produce unsatisfactory results. In ground-based astronomy, combining multiple exposures to achieve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Fausto Navarro , Daniel Hall , Tamas Budavari , Yashil Sukurdeep

We consider deconvolution from repeated observations with unknown error distribution. So far, this model has mostly been studied under the additional assumption that the errors are symmetric. We construct an estimator for the non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus , Fabienne Comte

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We propose a new, efficient multi-scale method to decompose a map (or signal in general) into components maps that contain structures of different sizes. In the widely-used wave transform, artifacts containing negative values arise around…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-11 Guang-Xing Li

Recent advances have demonstrated the possibility of solving the deconvolution problem without prior knowledge of the noise distribution. In this paper, we study the repeated measurements model, where information is derived from multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Jérémie Capitao-Miniconi , Elisabeth Gassiat , Luc Lehéricy

Deconvolution is essential for radio interferometric imaging to produce scientific quality data because of finite sampling in the Fourier plane. Most deconvolution algorithms are based on CLEAN which uses a grid of image pixels, or clean…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-18 Sarod Yatawatta

The high energy physics unfolding problem is an important statistical inverse problem in data analysis at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. The goal of unfolding is to make nonparametric inferences about a particle spectrum from…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-09 Mikael Kuusela , Philip B. Stark

We describe regularized methods for image reconstruction and focus on the question of hyperparameter and instrument parameter estimation, i.e. unsupervised and myopic problems. We developed a Bayesian framework that is based on the \post…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-16 F. Orieux , J. -F. Giovannelli , T. Rodet , A. Abergel

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Consider panel data modelled by a linear random intercept model that includes a time-varying covariate. Suppose that we have uncertain prior information that this covariate is exogenous. We present a new confidence interval for the slope…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo