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Observational learning is an important information aggregation mechanism. However, it occasionally leads to a state in which an entire population chooses a sub-optimal option. When it occurs and whether it is a phase transition remain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-13 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Taiki Takahashi

In this paper, we discuss a voting model with two candidates, C_1 and C_2. We set two types of voters--herders and independents. The voting of independent voters is based on their fundamental values; on the other hand, the voting of herders…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-27 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

We study a model of a population making a binary decision based on information spreading within the population, which is fully connected or covering a square grid. We assume that a fraction of the population wants to make the choice of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-24 Petter Holme , Hang-Hyun Jo

Individual choices are either based on personal experience or on information provided by peers. The latter case, causes individuals to conform to the majority in their neighborhood. Such herding behavior may be very efficient in aggregating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Philippe Curty , Matteo Marsili

An unknown positive number of items arrive at independent uniformly distributed times in the interval [0,1] to a selector, whose task is to pick online the last one. We show that under the assumption of an adversary determining the number…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-18 Johan Wästlund

The multiplication game is a two-person game in which each player chooses a positive integer without knowledge of the other player's number. The two numbers are then multiplied together and the first digit of the product determines the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-11 Kent E. Morrison

A decision rule is epsilon-minimax if it is minimax up to an additive factor epsilon. We present an algorithm for provably obtaining epsilon-minimax solutions for a class of statistical decision problems. In particular, we are interested in…

I describe a Bayesian persuasion problem where Receiver has a private type representing a cutoff for choosing Sender's preferred action, and Sender has maxmin preferences over all Receiver type distributions with known mean and bounds. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-03 Eitan Sapiro-Gheiler

Consider the problem of finding a population or a probability distribution amongst many with the largest mean when these means are unknown but population samples can be simulated or otherwise generated. Typically, by selecting largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Peter Glynn , Sandeep Juneja

This paper aims to solve the optimal strategy against a well-known adaptive algorithm, the Hedge algorithm, in a finitely repeated $2\times 2$ zero-sum game. In the literature, related theoretical results are very rare. To this end, we make…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Xinxiang Guo , Yifen Mu

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

Herding, where investors imitate others' decisions rather than relying on their own analysis, is a prevalent phenomenon in financial markets. Excessive herding distorts rational decisions, amplifies volatility, and can be exploited by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

Collective intelligence is the ability of a group to perform more effectively than any individual alone. Diversity among group members is a key condition for the emergence of collective intelligence, but maintaining diversity is challenging…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Richard P. Mann , Dirk Helbing

In this paper, we consider a mean field model of social behavior where there are an infinite number of players, each of whom observes a type privately that represents her preference, and publicly observes a mean field state of types and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Deepanshu Vasal

We show that the herding procedure of Welling (2009) takes exactly the form of a standard convex optimization algorithm--namely a conditional gradient algorithm minimizing a quadratic moment discrepancy. This link enables us to invoke…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-12 Francis Bach , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Guillaume Obozinski

We study the parallel Minority Game, where a group of agents, each having two choices, try to independently decide on a strategy such that they stay on minority between their own two choices. However, there are multiple such groups of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-04 Ankith Reddy Vemula , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Resource allocation takes place in various types of real-world complex systems such as urban traf- fic, social services institutions, economical and ecosystems. Mathematically, the dynamical process of complex resource allocation can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-05 Ji-Qiang Zhang , Zi-Gang Huang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Riqi Su , Ying-Cheng Lai

In this paper, we study the optimal investment problem considering the herd behaviour between two agents, including one leading expert and one following agent whose decisions are influenced by those of the leading expert. In the objective…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

We examine strategy-proof elections to select a winner amongst a set of agents, each of whom cares only about winning. This impartial selection problem was introduced independently by Holzman and Moulin and Alon et al. Fisher and Klimm…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-01 Nicolas Bousquet , Sergey Norin , Adrian Vetta

Decision-making individuals are typically either an imitator, who mimics the action of the most successful individual(s), a conformist (or coordinating individual), who chooses an action if enough others have done so, or a nonconformist (or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Hien Le , Mohaddeseh Rajaee , Pouria Ramazi
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