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We propose a novel model-based clustering approach for samples of time series. We assume as a unique commonality that two observations belong to the same group if structural changes in their behaviours happen at the same time. We resort to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Riccardo Corradin , Luca Danese , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Andrea Ongaro

In tracking multiple objects, it is often assumed that each observation (measurement) is originated from one and only one object. However, we may encounter a situation that each measurement may or may not be associated with multiple objects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Bahman Moraffah

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

We develop a formalism to describe the discrete-time dynamics of systems containing an arbitrary number of interacting species. The individual-based model, which forms our starting point, is described by a Markov chain, which in the limit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-06 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Statistical node clustering in discrete time dynamic networks is an emerging field that raises many challenges. Here, we explore statistical properties and frequentist inference in a model that combines a stochastic block model (SBM) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Catherine Matias , Vincent Miele

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Complex systems are typically characterized by intricate internal dynamics that are often hard to elucidate. Ideally, this requires methods that allow to detect and classify in unsupervised way the microscopic dynamical events occurring in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-26 Matteo Becchi , Federico Fantolino , Giovanni M. Pavan

This letter reports on a new method of analysing experimentally gained time series with respect to different types of noise involved, namely, we show that it is possible to differentiate between dynamical and measurement noise. This method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Siefert , J. Peinke , R. Friedrich

We investigate bifurcation phenomena between slow and fast convergences of synchronization errors arising in the proposed synchronization system consisting of two identical nonlinear dynamical systems linked by a common noisy input only.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Katsutoshi Yoshida , Yusuke Nishizawa

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

There is a wide variety of data mining methods available, and it is generally useful in exploratory data analysis to use many different methods for the same dataset. This, however, leads to the problem of whether the results found by one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Sami Hanhijärvi , Markus Ojala , Niko Vuokko , Kai Puolamäki , Nikolaj Tatti , Heikki Mannila

In this paper, we present a new, optimization-based method to exhibit cyclic behavior in non-reversible stochastic processes. While our method is general, it is strongly motivated by discrete simulations of ordinary differential equations…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-09-12 Isabel Beckenbach , Leon Eifler , Konstantin Fackeldey , Ambros Gleixner , Andreas Grever , Marcus Weber , Jakob Witzig

A blind source separation method is described to extract sources from data mixtures where the underlying sources are assumed to be sparse and uncorrelated. The approach used is to detect and analyse segments of time where one source exists…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-02-06 Malcolm Woolfson

We address the problem of estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous Markov chain given only noisy, aggregate data. This arises when a population of individuals behave independently according to a Markov chain, but individual sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-15 Garrett Bernstein , Daniel Sheldon

While the design of automated knowledge-based sensor scheduling is relevant to many multi-target detection and tracking problems, tracking algorithms are rarely built for this purpose and their outputs provide little flexibility for the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-13 Emmanuel Delande , Jeremie Houssineau , Daniel E. Clark

The interdependence and high dimensionality of multivariate signals present significant challenges for denoising, as conventional univariate methods often struggle to capture the complex interactions between variables. A successful approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Jaesung Choi , Pilwon Kim

Verifying the performance of safety-critical, stochastic systems with complex noise distributions is difficult. We introduce a general procedure for the finite abstraction of nonlinear stochastic systems with non-standard (e.g., non-affine,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 John Skovbekk , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

Previous approaches to modelling interval-censored data have often relied on assumptions of homogeneity in the sense that the censoring mechanism, the underlying distribution of occurrence times, or both, are assumed to be time-invariant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-01 M. N. M. van Lieshout , R. L. Markwitz

We present an efficient clustering algorithm applicable to one-dimensional data such as e.g. a series of timestamps. Given an expected frequency $\Delta T^{-1}$, we introduce an $\mathcal{O}(N)$-efficient method of characterizing $N$ events…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Conrad M Albrecht , Marcus Freitag , Theodore G van Kessel , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik F Hamann

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara
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