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We propose new estimates for the frontier of a set of points. They are defined as kernel estimates covering all the points and whose associated support is of smallest surface. The estimates are written as linear combinatio- ns of kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-31 Guillaume Bouchard , Stéphane Girard , Anatoli Iouditski , Alexander Nazin

Markowitz's celebrated mean--variance portfolio optimization theory assumes that the means and covariances of the underlying asset returns are known. In practice, they are unknown and have to be estimated from historical data. Plugging the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-05 Tze Leung Lai , Haipeng Xing , Zehao Chen

Markowitz mean-variance portfolios with sample mean and covariance as input parameters feature numerous issues in practice. They perform poorly out of sample due to estimation error, they experience extreme weights together with high…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-29 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yegor Klochkov , Alla Petukhina , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

The present paper provides a study of high-dimensional statistical arbitrage that combines factor models with the tools from stochastic control, obtaining closed-form optimal strategies which are both interpretable and computationally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

Choosing a portfolio of risky assets over time that maximizes the expected return at the same time as it minimizes portfolio risk is a classical problem in Mathematical Finance and is referred to as the dynamic Markowitz problem (when the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-20 Gabriela Kováčová , Birgit Rudloff

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the main characteristics of the mean-variance efficient frontier employing random matrix theory. Our particular interest covers the case when the dimension $p$ and the sample size $n$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Taras Bodnar , Nikolaus Hautsch , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

In this paper we consider a generalization of the Markowitz's Mean-Variance model under linear transaction costs and cardinality constraints. The cardinality constraints are used to limit the number of assets in the optimal portfolio. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-04-15 Mahdi Moeini

The first order behavior of multivariate heavy-tailed random vectors above large radial thresholds is ruled by a limit measure in a regular variation framework. For a high dimensional vector, a reasonable assumption is that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Holger Drees , Anne Sabourin

We propose an alternative linearization to the classical Markowitz quadratic portfolio optimization model, based on maximum drawdown. This model, which minimizes maximum portfolio drawdown, is particularly appealing during times of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-08 Albert Dorador

This paper addresses the problem of estimating causal effects when adjustment variables in the back-door or front-door criterion are partially observed. For such scenarios, we derive bounds on the causal effects by solving two non-linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Accurate estimates of causal effects play a key role in decision-making across applications such as healthcare, economics, and operations. In the absence of randomized experiments, a common approach to estimating causal effects uses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Davin Choo , Chandler Squires , Arnab Bhattacharyya , David Sontag

Understanding how the optimal value of an optimisation problem changes when its input data is modified is an old question in mathematical optimisation. This paper investigates the computation of the optimal values of a family of (possibly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Guillaume Derval , Damien Ernst , Quentin Louveaux , Bardhyl Miftari

This work studies discrete-time discounted Markov decision processes with continuous state and action spaces and addresses the inverse problem of inferring a cost function from observed optimal behavior. We first consider the case in which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Angeliki Kamoutsi , Peter Schmitt-Förster , Tobias Sutter , Volkan Cevher , John Lygeros

We study a family of optimal control problems in which one aims at minimizing a cost that mixes a quadratic control penalization and the variance of the system, both for finitely many agents and for the mean-field dynamics as their number…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Benoît Bonnet , Francesco Rossi

Fixed income has received far less attention than equity portfolio optimisation since Markowitz' original work of 1952, partly as a result of the need to model rates and credit risk. We argue that the shape of the efficient frontier is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Richard J. Martin

Entropy based ideas find wide-ranging applications in finance for calibrating models of portfolio risk as well as options pricing. The abstracted problem, extensively studied in the literature, corresponds to finding a probability measure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-04 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

Markowitz's optimal portfolio relies on the accurate estimation of correlations between asset returns, a difficult problem when the number of observations is not much larger than the number of assets. Using powerful results from random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-24 Tomas Espana , Victor Le Coz , Matteo Smerlak

We study the optimal sample complexity of variable selection in linear regression under general design covariance, and show that subset selection is optimal while under standard complexity assumptions, efficient algorithms for this problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Ming Gao , Bryon Aragam