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Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We consider the problem of estimating the mean vector of a p-variate normal $(\theta,\Sigma)$ distribution under invariant quadratic loss, $(\delta-\theta)'\Sigma^{-1}(\delta-\theta)$, when the covariance is unknown. We propose a new class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

The family of Mat\'ern kernels are often used in spatial statistics, function approximation and Gaussian process methods in machine learning. One reason for their popularity is the presence of a smoothness parameter that controls, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Toni Karvonen , Eric Moulines

Grey-scale local algorithms have been suggested as a fast way of estimating surface area from grey-scale digital images. Their asymptotic mean has already been described. In this paper, the asymptotic behaviour of the variance is studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Anne Marie Svane

A rather natural construction for a smooth random surface in space is the level surface of value zero, or 'nodal' surface f(x,y,z)=0, of a (real) random function f; the interface between positive and negative regions of the function. A…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2018-04-18 John Hannay

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

Gaussian processes are widely used for accurate emulation of unknown surfaces in sequential design of expensive simulation experiments. Integrated mean squared error (IMSE) is an effective acquisition function for sequential designs based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Huanyan Zhu , Cheng Li

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Let $X_1,\dots, X_n$ be i.i.d. random variables sampled from a normal distribution $N(\mu,\Sigma)$ in ${\mathbb R}^d$ with unknown parameter $\theta=(\mu,\Sigma)\in \Theta:={\mathbb R}^d\times {\mathcal C}_+^d,$ where ${\mathcal C}_+^d$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Mayya Zhilova

Let $Y$ be a Gaussian vector whose components are independent with a common unknown variance. We consider the problem of estimating the mean $\mu$ of $Y$ by model selection. More precisely, we start with a collection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

We study two types of intrinsic uncertainties, statistical errors and system size effects, in estimating shear viscosity via equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations and compare them with the corresponding uncertainties in evaluating the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-09-05 Kang-Sahn Kim , Myung Hoon Han , Changho Kim , Zhen Li , George Em Karniadakis , Eok Kyun Lee

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

This letter is concerned with solving continuous-discrete Gaussian smoothing problems by using the Taylor moment expansion (TME) scheme. In the proposed smoothing method, we apply the TME method to approximate the transition density of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä

Surrogate models based on machine learning methods have become an important part of modern engineering to replace costly computer simulations. The data used for creating a surrogate model are essential for the model accuracy and often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

In this paper, we study a smoothness regularization method for a varying coefficient model based on sparse and irregularly sampled functional data which is contaminated with some measurement errors. We estimate the one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Behdad Mostafaiy

We study high-dimensional convex empirical risk minimization (ERM) under general non-Gaussian data designs. By heuristically extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem (CGMT) to non-Gaussian settings, we derive an asymptotic min-max…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Chiheb Yaakoubi , Cosme Louart , Malik Tiomoko , Zhenyu Liao

We develop a global theory for complete hypersurfaces in $\mathbb{R}^{n+1}$ whose mean curvature is given as a prescribed function of its Gauss map. This theory extends the usual one of constant mean curvature hypersurfaces in…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Antonio Bueno , Jose A. Galvez , Pablo Mira