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Motivated by the fact that input distributions are often unknown in advance, distribution-free property testing considers a setting where the algorithmic task is to accept functions $f : [n] \to \{0,1\}$ with a certain property P and reject…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Hugo Aaronson , Tom Gur , Ninad Rajgopal , Ron D. Rothblum

We consider the problem of predicting a response $Y$ from a set of covariates $X$ when test and training distributions differ. Since such differences may have causal explanations, we consider test distributions that emerge from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Rune Christiansen , Niklas Pfister , Martin Emil Jakobsen , Nicola Gnecco , Jonas Peters

The problem of scheduling with testing in the framework of explorable uncertainty models environments where some preliminary action can influence the duration of a task. In the model, each job has an unknown processing time that can be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Susanne Albers , Alexander Eckl

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

We study the problem of estimating the sum of $n$ elements, each with weight $w(i)$, in a structured universe. Our goal is to estimate $W = \sum_{i=1}^n w(i)$ within a $(1 \pm \epsilon)$ factor using a sublinear number of samples, assuming…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Pinki Pradhan , Sampriti Roy

We present a probabilistic divide-and-conquer (PDC) method for \emph{exact} sampling of conditional distributions of the form $\mathcal{L}( {\bf X}\, |\, {\bf X} \in E)$, where ${\bf X}$ is a random variable on $\mathcal{X}$, a complete,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-15 Stephen DeSalvo

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

The validity OF a causal model can be tested ONLY IF the model imposes constraints ON the probability distribution that governs the generated data. IN the presence OF unmeasured variables, causal models may impose two types OF constraints :…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

The concept of Probability of Causation (PC) is critically important in legal contexts and can help in many other domains. While it has been around since 1986, current operationalizations can obtain only the minimum and maximum values of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Tapajit Dey , Audris Mockus

Several classical adaptive optimization algorithms, such as line search and trust region methods, have been recently extended to stochastic settings where function values, gradients, and Hessians in some cases, are estimated via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Billy Jin , Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

The scheduling problem is a key class of optimization problems and has various kinds of applications both in practical and theoretical scenarios. In the scheduling problem, probabilistic analysis is a basic tool for investigating…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Daiki Suruga

We study quantum algorithms for verifying properties of the output probability distribution of a classical or quantum circuit, given access to the source code that generates the distribution. We consider the basic task of uniformity…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-08 Clément L. Canonne , Robin Kothari , Ryan O'Donnell

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

In this paper, we propose a new spectral-based approach to hypothesis testing for populations of networks. The primary goal is to develop a test to determine whether two given samples of networks come from the same random model or…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-26 Li Chen , Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin , Jie Zhou , Eric D. Kolaczyk

We consider nonparametric or universal sequential hypothesis testing problem when the distribution under the null hypothesis is fully known but the alternate hypothesis corresponds to some other unknown distribution. These algorithms are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-30 Jithin K. Sreedharan , Vinod Sharma

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

We introduce a novel class of algorithms to efficiently approximate the unknown return distributions in policy evaluation problems from distributional reinforcement learning (DRL). The proposed distributional dynamic programming algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-22 Julian Gerstenberg , Ralph Neininger , Denis Spiegel