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The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

We provide time- and sample-efficient algorithms for learning and testing latent-tree Ising models, i.e. Ising models that may only be observed at their leaf nodes. On the learning side, we obtain efficient algorithms for learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Davin Choo , Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We are interested in the structure of multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees conditioned on integer linear combinations of the numbers of vertices of given types. We show that, under regularity assumptions on the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Rémy Poudevigne , Paul Thévenin

We consider invasion percolation on Galton-Watson trees. On almost every Galton-Watson tree, the invasion cluster almost surely contains only one infinite path. This means that for almost every Galton-Watson tree, invasion percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Marcus Michelen , Robin Pemantle , Josh Rosenberg

In a random complete and separable metric space that we call the lookdown space, we encode the genealogical distances between all individuals ever alive in a lookdown model with simultaneous multiple reproduction events. We construct…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Stephan Gufler

We present a detailed analysis of the class of regression decision tree algorithms which employ a regulized piecewise-linear node-splitting criterion and have regularized linear models at the leaves. From a theoretic standpoint, based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Leonidas Lefakis , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi , Gilles Blanchard

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

Our principal aim is to observe the Markov discrete-time process of population growth with long-living trajectory. First we study asymptotical decay of generating function of Galton-Watson process for all cases as the Basic Lemma.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Azam A. Imomov

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

This note presents a simple criterion for the tightness of stochastic fragmentation processes. Our work is motivated by an application to a fragmentation process derived from deleting edges in a conditioned Galton-Watson tree studied by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson

Phylogenetic trees constitute an interesting class of objects for stochastic processes due to the non-standard nature of the space they inhabit. In particular, many statistical applications require the construction of Markov processes on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Rodrigo B. Alves , Yuri F. Saporito , Luiz M. Carvalho

We consider large uniform random trees where we fix for each vertex its degree and height. We prove, under natural conditions of convergence for the profile, that those trees properly renormalized converge. To this end, we study the paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie , Emmanuel Kammerer

We study fragmentation of a random recursive tree into a forest by repeated removal of nodes. The initial tree consists of N nodes and it is generated by sequential addition of nodes with each new node attaching to a randomly-selected…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-25 Z. Kalay , E. Ben-Naim

We obtain a number of new general properties, related to the closedness of the class of long-tailed distributions under convolutions, that are of interest themselves and may be applied in many models that deal with "plus" and/or "max"…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Hui Xu , Sergey Foss , Yuebao Wang

A phylogenetic tree shows the evolutionary relationships among species. Internal nodes of the tree represent speciation events and leaf nodes correspond to species. A goal of phylogenetics is to combine such trees into larger trees, called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Neil C. A. Moore , Patrick Prosser

We introduce multi-type Markov Branching trees, which are simple random population tree models where individuals are characterized by their size and type and give rise to (size,type)-children in a Galton-Watson fashion, with the rule that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Bénédicte Haas , Robin Stephenson

We consider Galton-Watson trees with ${\rm Bin}(d,p)$ offspring distribution. We let $T_{\infty}(p)$ denote such a tree conditioned on being infinite. For $d=2,3$ and any $1/d\leq p_1 <p_2 \leq 1$, we show that there exists a coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Erik I. Broman

Many classes of phylogenetic networks have been proposed in the literature. A feature of several of these classes is that if one restricts a network in the class to a subset of its leaves, then the resulting network may no longer lie within…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Michael Fuchs , Mike Steel

We consider multi-type Galton Watson trees, and find the distribution of these trees when conditioning on very general types of recursive events. It turns out that the conditioned tree is again a multi-type Galton Watson tree, possibly with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Eric Cator , Henk Don