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Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

The q-Gaussians are discussed from the point of view of variance mixtures of normals and exchangeability. For each q< 3, there is a q-Gaussian distribution that maximizes the Tsallis entropy under suitable constraints. This paper shows that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Marjorie G. Hahn , Xinxin Jiang , Sabir Umarov

The Central Limit Theorem does not hold for strongly correlated stochastic variables, as is the case for statistical systems close to criticality. Recently, the calculation of the probability distribution function (PDF) of the magnetization…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-28 Sankarshan Sahu , Bertrand Delamotte , Adam Rançon

We consider the general branching random walk under minimal assumptions, which in particular guarantee that the empirical particle distribution admits an almost sure central limit theorem. For such a process, we study the large time decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Oren Louidor , Eliad Tsairi

Renewal processes with heavy-tailed power law distributed sojourn times are commonly encountered in physical modelling and so typical fluctuations of observables of interest have been investigated in detail. To describe rare events the rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-26 Wanli Wang , Johannes H. P. Schulz , Weihua Deng , Eli Barkai

The standard formulation of thermostatistics, being based on the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution and logarithmic Shannon entropy, describes idealized uncorrelated systems with extensive energies and short-range interactions. In this letter, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 S. N. Saadatmand , Tim Gould , E. G. Cavalcanti , J. A. Vaccaro

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

We consider the quasi-deterministic behavior of systems with a large number, $n$, of deterministically interacting constituents. This work extends the results of a previous paper [J. Stat. Phys. 99:1225-1249 (2000)] to include vector-valued…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-28 Brian R. La Cour , William C. Schieve

Selection, the tendency of some traits to become more frequent than others in a population under the influence of some (natural or artificial) agency, is a key component of Darwinian evolution and countless other natural and social…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-24 Matteo Smerlak , Ahmed Youssef

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

We consider the long-term evolution of an inhomogeneous long-range interacting $N$-body system. Placing ourselves in the dynamically hot limit, i.e. neglecting collective effects, we derive a large deviation principle for the system's…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-17 Ouassim Feliachi , Jean-Baptiste Fouvry

In order to account for possible nonstatistical fluctuations in a hadronizing system (leading to the characteristic power-like behavior of the respective single particle spectra and to the broadening of the corresponding multiparticle…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2012-02-21 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Wlodarczyk

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

We analyze the fluctuations of the dissipated energy in a simple and general model where dissipation, diffusion and driving are the key ingredients. The large deviation function for the dissipation follows from hydrodynamic fluctuation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-06 A. Prados , A. Lasanta , Pablo I. Hurtado

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$, let $(X\_n)\_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S\_n = \sum\_{k=1}^{n} \xi(X\_k)$. Under functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Loïc Hervé

In ergodic physical systems, time-averaged quantities converge (for large times) to their ensemble-averaged values. Large deviation theory describes rare events where these time averages differ significantly from the corresponding ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-20 Robert L. Jack

One of the main differences between the central limit theorem and the Poisson law of small numbers is that the former possesses the large sample property (LSP), i.e., the error of normal approximation to the sum of $n$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

We prove quenched versions of a central limit theorem, a large deviations principle as well as a local central limit theorem for expanding on average cocycles. This is achieved by building an appropriate modification of the spectral method…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Davor Dragičević , Julien Sedro

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

A new version of a strong law of large numbers for a ``good'' pairwise independent sequence of random variables (r.v.'s) with a small part of ``bad'' dependent r.v.'s is proposed. The main goal is to relax the assumption on the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 I. V. Kozlov , A. Yu. Veretennikov