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Optimal dimensionality reduction methods are proposed for the Bayesian inference of a Gaussian linear model with additive noise in presence of overabundant data. Three different optimal projections of the observations are proposed based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Loïc Giraldi , Olivier P. Le Maître , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar M. Knio

For the sparse vector model, we consider estimation of the target vector, of its L2-norm and of the noise variance. We construct adaptive estimators and establish the optimal rates of adaptive estimation when adaptation is considered with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Laëtitia Comminges , Olivier Collier , Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The problem of obtaining optimal projections for performing discriminant analysis with Gaussian class densities is studied. Unlike in most existing approaches to the problem, the focus of the optimisation is on the multinomial likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 David P. Hofmeyr , Francois Kamper , Michail C. Melonas

Under a standard assumption in complexity theory (NP not in P/poly), we demonstrate a gap between the minimax prediction risk for sparse linear regression that can be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, and that achieved by optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

Consider the problem of predicting the next symbol given a sample path of length n, whose joint distribution belongs to a distribution class that may have long-term memory. The goal is to compete with the conditional predictor that knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Yanjun Han , Tianze Jiang , Yihong Wu

In this work, we introduce a novel estimator of the predictive risk with Poisson data, when the loss function is the Kullback-Leibler divergence, in order to define a regularization parameter's choice rule for the Expectation Maximization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Paolo Massa , Federico Benvenuto

We consider the equivalent problems of estimating the residual variance, the proportion of explained variance $\eta$ and the signal strength in a high-dimensional linear regression model with Gaussian random design. Our aim is to understand…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Nicolas Verzelen , Elisabeth Gassiat

In this study, simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables were considered and the performance of predictive distributions was evaluated using the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) loss. This study proposes a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Xiao Li

Expand-and-sparsify representations are a class of theoretical models that capture sparse representation phenomena observed in the sensory systems of many animals. At a high level, these representations map an input $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Kaushik Sinha , Christopher Tosh

In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({\it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({\it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Satyaki Mukherjee , Hoang-Son Tran

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Spencer Compton , Gábor Lugosi , Jaouad Mourtada , Jian Qian , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We propose a sequential learning policy for noisy discrete global optimization and ranking and selection (R\&S) problems with high dimensional sparse belief functions, where there are hundreds or even thousands of features, but only a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Yan Li , Han Liu , Warren Powell

Compressive sensing predicts that sufficiently sparse vectors can be recovered from highly incomplete information. Efficient recovery methods such as $\ell_1$-minimization find the sparsest solution to certain systems of equations. Random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Ulaş Ayaz , Holger Rauhut

In high-dimensional linear regression, the goal pursued here is to estimate an unknown regression function using linear combinations of a suitable set of covariates. One of the key assumptions for the success of any statistical procedure in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Philippe Rigollet , Alexandre Tsybakov

Tight bounds on the minimum mean square error for the additive Gaussian noise channel are derived, when the input distribution is constrained to be epsilon-close to a Gaussian reference distribution in terms of the Kullback--Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Michael Fauss , Alex Dytso , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

This paper proposes a new family of lower and upper bounds on the minimum mean squared error (MMSE). The key idea is to minimize/maximize the MMSE subject to the constraint that the joint distribution of the input-output statistics lies in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Michael Fauß , Alex Dysto , H. Vincent Poor

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

Robust mean estimation is one of the most important problems in statistics: given a set of samples in $\mathbb{R}^d$ where an $\alpha$ fraction are drawn from some distribution $D$ and the rest are adversarially corrupted, we aim to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Shiwei Zeng , Jie Shen