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A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

Ruptures of the largest earthquakes can last between a few seconds and several minutes. An early assessment of the final earthquake size is essential for early warning systems. However, it is still unclear when in the rupture history this…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-08 Jannes Münchmeyer , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We review the present status of our research and understanding regarding the dynamics and the statistical properties of earthquakes, mainly from a statistical physical viewpoint. Emphasis is put both on the physics of friction and fracture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-22 Hikaru Kawamura , Takahiro Hatano , Naoyuki Kato , Soumyajyoti Biswas , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Earthquakes are rupture-like processes that propagate along tectonic faults and cause seismic waves. The propagation speed and final area of the rupture, which determine an earthquake's potential impact, are directly related to the nature…

Earthquake occurrence in nature is thought to result from correlated elastic stresses, leading to clustering in space and time. We show that occurrence of major earthquakes in California correlates with time intervals when fluctuations in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 James R. Holliday , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte , William Klein , Kristy F. Tiampo

It is shown that earthquakes do not know how large they will become, at least from the information collected at seismic catalogs. In other words, the magnitude is independent on previous magnitudes as well as on the waiting time between…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

If we assume that earthquakes are chaotic, and influenced locally then chaos theory suggests that there should be a temporal association between earthquakes in a local region that should be revealed with statistical examination. To date no…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 Parsa Rastin , Michael LuValle

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other earthquakes have raised the hope that large earthquakes may be…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

A conjecture on imminent earthquake prediction is presented. Drastic geological deformations of crustal rock strata taking place immediately (hours/days) before an earthquake may cause fast air or gas emission/absorption vertically in…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-04-23 Xin Liu

Analysis of the observational data and possible origination scenarios of particle bursts allows us to conclude that the bursts can be explained by the electron acceleration in the thunderous atmosphere and by gigantic showers developed in…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-12-14 Ashot Chilingarian , Gagik Hovsepyan

Particles in structural glasses rattle around temporary equilibriumpositions, that seldom change through a process which is much faster than the relaxation time, known as particle jump. Since the relaxation of the system is due to the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-11-03 Massimo Pica Ciamarra , Raffaele Pastore , Antonio Coniglio

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero
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