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Gaussian Conditional Random Fields (GCRF), as a structured regression model, is designed to achieve higher regression accuracy than unstructured predictors at the expense of execution time, taking into account the objects similarities and…
For geospatial modelling and mapping tasks, variants of kriging - the spatial interpolation technique developed by South African mining engineer Danie Krige - have long been regarded as the established geostatistical methods. However,…
Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…
Large-scale kernel approximation is an important problem in machine learning research. Approaches using random Fourier features have become increasingly popular [Rahimi and Recht, 2007], where kernel approximation is treated as empirical…
Spatio-temporal kriging is an important problem in web and social applications, such as Web or Internet of Things, where things (e.g., sensors) connected into a web often come with spatial and temporal properties. It aims to infer knowledge…
A meta-model of the input-output data of a computationally expensive simulation is often employed for prediction, optimization, or sensitivity analysis purposes. Fitting is enabled by a designed experiment, and for computationally expensive…
Multi-fidelity Kriging model is a promising technique in surrogate-based design as it can balance the model accuracy and cost of sample preparation by fusing low- and high-fidelity data. However, the cost for building a multi-fidelity…
Computing an ensemble of random fields using conditional simulation is an ideal method for retrieving accurate estimates of a field conditioned on available data and for quantifying the uncertainty of these realizations. Methods for…
Machine learning has gained widespread attention as a powerful tool to identify structure in complex, high-dimensional data. However, these techniques are ostensibly inapplicable for experimental systems where data is scarce or expensive to…
Since the mid 1990s, grid computing systems have emerged as an analogy for making computing power as pervasive an easily accessible as an electric power grid. Since then, grid computing systems have been shown to be able to provide very…
Randomized experiments are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. However, out of the set of possible randomized assignments, some may be likely to produce poor effect estimates and misleading conclusions. Restricted…
Kernel methods, particularly kernel ridge regression (KRR), are time-proven, powerful nonparametric regression techniques known for their rich capacity, analytical simplicity, and computational tractability. The analysis of their predictive…
Motivated by the need for efficient estimation of conditional expectations, we consider a least-squares function approximation problem with heavily polluted data. Existing methods that are effective in the small-noise regime are suboptimal…
Treeging combines the flexible mean structure of regression trees with the covariance-based prediction strategy of kriging into the base learner of an ensemble prediction algorithm. In so doing, it combines the strengths of the two primary…
An explicit optimal linear spatial predictor is derived. The spatial correlations are imposed by means of Gibbs energy functionals with explicit coupling coefficients instead of covariance matrices. The model inference process is based on…
We initiate a systematic study of utilizing predictions to improve over approximation guarantees of classic algorithms, without increasing the running time. We propose a systematic method for a wide class of optimization problems that ask…
Despite the stride made by machine learning (ML) based performance modeling, two major concerns that may impede production-ready ML applications in EDA are stringent accuracy requirements and generalization capability. To this end, we…
It is now common practice in nuclear engineering to base extensive studies on numerical computer models. These studies require to run computer codes in potentially thousands of numerical configurations and without expert individual controls…
Computational modeling of the manufacturing process of Lithium-Ion Battery (LIB) composite electrodes based on mechanistic approaches, allows predicting the influence of manufacturing parameters on electrode properties. However, ensuring…
How can we model networks with a mathematically tractable model that allows for rigorous analysis of network properties? Networks exhibit a long list of surprising properties: heavy tails for the degree distribution; small diameters; and…