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Climate-related phenomena are increasingly affecting regions worldwide, manifesting as floods, water scarcity, and heat waves, significantly impairing companies' assets and productivity. It is essential for asset managers to quantify the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Michele Azzone , Matteo Ghesini , Davide Stocco , Lorenzo Viola

In an environmental framework, extreme values of certain spatio-temporal processes, for example wind speeds, are the main cause of severe damage in property, such as electrical networks, transport and agricultural infrastructures.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-30 M A Amaral Turkman , K F Turkman , P de Zea Bermudez , S Pereira , P Pereira , M Carvalho

Accurate ocean surface wave knowledge is crucial for ship design. With the significant advancements of model physics and numerical resources, the recent numerical wave hindcast data has a potential to provide environmental conditions for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-23 Tsubasa Kodaira , Kaushik Sasmal , Rei Miratsu , Tsutomu Fukui , Tingyao Zhu , Takuji Waseda

Extreme events, such as rogue waves, earthquakes and stock market crashes, occur spontaneously in many dynamical systems. Because of their usually adverse consequences, quantification, prediction and mitigation of extreme events are highly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-19 Mohammad Farazmand , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Waves traveling through random media exhibit random focusing that leads to extremely high wave intensities even in the absence of nonlinearities. Although such extreme events are present in a wide variety of physical systems and the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 Jakob J. Metzger , Ragnar Fleischmann , Theo Geisel

Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty is to be able to run long enough simulations in order to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-12-27 Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters , Freddy Bouchet

Hindcast or wave reanalysis databases (WRDB) constitute a powerful source with respect to instrumental records in the design of offshore and coastal structures, since they offer important advantages for the statistical characterization of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Roberto Minguez , Antonio Tomas , Fernando J. Mendez , Raul Medina

Revealing the ongoing changes in ocean dynamics and their impact on marine ecosystems requires the joint analysis of multiple variables. Yet, global observational records only cover a few decades, posing a challenge in the separation of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli , Daniele Iudicone

This work presents a design coupling analysis (DCA) framework to investigate the interactions among control and plant design variables in floating offshore wind turbine (FOWT) and to support the formulation of tractable control co-design…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Elena Fernandez Bravo , Sunil Tamang , Yong Hoon Lee , James T. Allison

The current explosion in machine learning for climate has led to skilled, computationally cheap emulators for the atmosphere. However, the research for ocean emulators remains nascent despite the large potential for accelerating coupled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Adam Subel , Laure Zanna

Modelling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for instance when allocating emergency management funds. In statistics, multivariate extreme value theory is often used to model spatial extremes.…

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

We consider the statistics of extreme ship motions in a nonlinear irregular wave field. While an accurate computation is possible by using a full Monte-Carlo method to cover all individual wave conditions, the computational cost may become…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-08-10 Xianliang Gong , Zhou Zhang , Kevin J. Maki , Yulin Pan

We investigate how the extreme wave statistics of a windsea is modified by a following swell, by means of laboratory experiments and simulations using a High Order Spectral Method (HOSM) of long-crested sea. The windsea spectrum is kept…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-16 Susanne Støle-Hentschel , Karsten Trulsen Shkurte Olluri

Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin , Tom Beucler

Preventive control is a crucial strategy for power system operation against impending natural hazards, and its effectiveness fundamentally relies on the realism of scenario generation. While most existing studies employ sequential Monte…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-21 Ziyue Li , Guanglun Zhang , Grant Ruan , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang

Despite ambitious offshore wind targets in the U.S. and globally, offshore grid planning guidance remains notably scarce, contrasting with well-established frameworks for onshore grids. This gap, alongside the increasing penetration of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Saroj Khanal , Christoph Graf , Zhirui Liang , Yury Dvorkin , Burçin Ünel

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

Processes in ocean physics, air-sea interaction and ocean biogeochemistry span enormous ranges in spatial and temporal scales, that is, from molecular to planetary and from seconds to millennia. Identifying and implementing sustainable…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-23 Christopher K. Wikle , Ralph F. Milliff , Radu Herbei , William B. Leeds

We consider a coupled atmosphere-ocean model, which involves hydrodynamics, thermodynamics and nonautonomous interaction at the air-sea interface. First, we show that the coupled atmosphere-ocean system is stable under the external…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hongjun Gao , Jinqiao Duan
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