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We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

In this article, a novel identification test is proposed, which can be applied to parameteric models such as Mixture of Normal (MN) distributions, Markow Switching(MS), or Structural Autoregressive (SVAR) models. In the approach, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Katarzyna Maciejowska

Conditional auto-regressive (CAR) distributions are widely used to induce spatial dependence in the geographic analysis of areal data. These distributions establish multivariate dependence networks by defining conditional relationships…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Aritz Adín , Tomás Goicoa , Lola Ugarte

As an example of the recently-introduced concept of rate of innovation, signals that are linear combinations of a finite number of Diracs per unit time can be acquired by linear filtering followed by uniform sampling. However, in reality,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-09 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Vivek K. Goyal

We derive the asymptotic distribution of the spatial Cram'{e}r--von Mises statistic for testing bivariate independence in stationary random fields on $\mathbb{R}^2$ under polynomial $\beta$-mixing dependence, and document the Python…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Marco Mandap

In this article, we propose a new nonparametric data analysis tool, which we call nonparametric modal regression, to investigate the relationship among interested variables based on estimating the mode of the conditional density of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-23 Weixin Yao , Sijia Xiang

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

In the context of regressing a response $Y$ on a predictor $X$, we consider estimating the local modes of the distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$ when $X$ is prone to measurement error. We propose two nonparametric estimation methods, with one…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

In this paper the nonparametric quantile regression model is considered in a location-scale context. The asymptotic properties of the empirical independence process based on covariates and estimated residuals are investigated. In particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Melanie Birke , Natalie Neumeyer , Stanislav Volgushev

This paper brings a contribution to the Bayesian theory of nonparametric and semiparametric estimation. We are interested in the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in Gaussian linear regression models when the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Dominique Bontemps

We propose the goodness of fit test for inhomogeneous Poisson processes with unknown scale and shift parameters. A test statistic of Cramer-von Mises type is proposed and its asymptotic behavior is studied. We show that under null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 A. S. Dabye , Yu. A. Kutoyants , E. D. Tanguep

Based on $m$-fold integrated empirical measures, we study three new classes of goodness-of-fits tests, generalizing Anderson-Darling, Cram\'er-von Mises, and Watson statistics, respectively, and examine the corresponding limiting stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Satoshi Kuriki

Let $(Y,(X_i)_{i\in\mathcal{I}})$ be a zero mean Gaussian vector and $V$ be a subset of $\mathcal{I}$. Suppose we are given $n$ i.i.d. replications of the vector $(Y,X)$. We propose a new test for testing that $Y$ is independent of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-23 Nicolas Verzelen , Fanny Villers

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

In this paper, we introduce an algebraic method to construct stable and consistent univariate autoregressive (AR) models of low order for filtering and predicting nonlinear turbulent signals with memory depth. By stable, we refer to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 John Harlim , Hoon Hong , Jacob L. Robbins

We address the issue of semiparametric efficiency in the bivariate regression problem with a highly persistent predictor, where the joint distribution of the innovations is regarded an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-18 Bas Werker , Bo Zhou

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

During the last decades there has been increasing interest in modeling the volatility of financial data. Several parametric models have been proposed to this aim, starting from ARCH, GARCH and their variants, but often it is hard to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Francesco Giordano , Maria Lucia Parrella

Model averaging has demonstrated superior performance for ensemble forecasting in high-dimensional framework, its extension to incomplete datasets remains a critical but underexplored challenge. Moreover, identifying the parsimonious model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Wei Xiong , Dianliang Deng , Dehui Wang