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There is a wide availability of methods for testing normality under the assumption of independent and identically distributed data. When data are dependent in space and/or time, however, assessing and testing the marginal behavior is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Minwoo Kim , Marc G Genton , Raphael Huser , Stefano Castruccio

We propose consistent nonparametric tests of conditional independence for time series data. Our methods are motivated from the difference between joint conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the product of conditional CDFs.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-12 Xiaojun Song , Haoyu Wei

This paper studies permutation tests for regression parameters in a time series setting, where the time series is assumed stationary but may exhibit an arbitrary (but weak) dependence structure. In such a setting, it is perhaps surprising…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Erniel B. Barrios , Paolo Victor T. Redondo

Time series graphical models have recently received considerable attention for characterizing (conditional) dependence structures in multivariate time series. In many applications, the multivariate series exhibit variable-partitioned…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Qin Fang , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

In the last years there has been a considerable increase in the availability of continuous sensor measurements in a wide range of application domains, such as Location-Based Services (LBS), medical monitoring systems, manufacturing plants…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Michele Dallachiesa , Besmira Nushi , Katsiaryna Mirylenka , Themis Palpanas

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

Time series analysis is a field of data science which is interested in analyzing sequences of numerical values ordered in time. Time series are particularly interesting because they allow us to visualize and understand the evolution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Hassan Ismail Fawaz

Time-reversal symmetry is of fundamental importance to physics. In the classical theory of time-reversal symmetry, the time-reversal symmetry of a quantum system is described by an anti-unitary operator, which is known as the time-reversal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-02 Ce Wang

Time series data are crucial across diverse domains such as finance and healthcare, where accurate forecasting and decision-making rely on advanced modeling techniques. While generative models have shown great promise in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Aoran Zhang , Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

Time series classification using novel techniques has experienced a recent resurgence and growing interest from statisticians, subject-domain scientists, and decision makers in business and industry. This is primarily due to the ever…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-06 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Nalini Ravishanker

For large-scale network systems, network centrality based on control theory plays a crucial role in understanding their properties and controlling them efficiently. The controllability score is such a centrality index and can give a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Kota Umezu , Kazuhiro Sato

We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

In modern interdisciplinary research, manifold time series data have been garnering more attention. A critical question in analyzing such data is ``stationarity'', which reflects the underlying dynamic behavior and is crucial across various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Junhao Zhu , Dehan Kong , Zhaolei Zhang , Zhenhua Lin

Time reversal invariance can be summarized as follows: no difference can be measured if a sequence of events is run forward or backward in time. Because price time series are dominated by a randomness that hides possible structures and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gilles Zumbach

Visibility Graph (VG) transforms time series into graphs, facilitating signal processing by advanced graph data mining algorithms. In this paper, based on the classic Limited Penetrable Visibility Graph (LPVG) method, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Qi Xuan , Jinchao Zhou , Kunfeng Qiu , Dongwei Xu , Shilian Zheng , Xiaoniu Yang

Time series data, spanning applications ranging from climatology to finance to healthcare, presents significant challenges in data mining due to its size and complexity. One open issue lies in time series clustering, which is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas