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It can be argued that optimal prediction should take into account all available data. Therefore, to evaluate a prediction interval's performance one should employ conditional coverage probability, conditioning on all available observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

Any sports competition needs a timetable, specifying when and where teams meet each other. The recent International Timetabling Competition (ITC2021) on sports timetabling showed that, although it is possible to develop general algorithms,…

Randomized algorithms, such as randomized sketching or stochastic optimization, are a promising approach to ease the computational burden in analyzing large datasets. However, randomized algorithms also produce non-deterministic outputs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhixiang Zhang , Sokbae Lee , Edgar Dobriban

Inexact methods for model predictive control (MPC), such as real-time iterative schemes or time-distributed optimization, alleviate the computational burden of exact MPC by providing suboptimal solutions. While the asymptotic stability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

A key trait of stochastic optimizers is that multiple runs of the same optimizer in attempting to solve the same problem can produce different results. As a result, their performance is evaluated over several repeats, or runs, on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Moslem Noori , Elisabetta Valiante , Thomas Van Vaerenbergh , Masoud Mohseni , Ignacio Rozada

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

The use of random sampling in decision-making and control has become popular with the ease of access to graphic processing units that can generate and calculate multiple random trajectories for real-time robotic applications. In contrast to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Chuyuan Tao , Hunmin Kim , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

Time series forecasting is fundamental for various use cases in different domains such as energy systems and economics. Creating a forecasting model for a specific use case requires an iterative and complex design process. The typical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Stefan Meisenbacher , Marian Turowski , Kaleb Phipps , Martin Rätz , Dirk Müller , Veit Hagenmeyer , Ralf Mikut

Modeling of physical systems includes extensive use of software packages that implement the accurate finite element method for solving differential equations considered along with the appropriate initial and boundary conditions. When the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-03-20 O. Kononenko , I. Kononenko

Average-case analysis computes the complexity of an algorithm averaged over all possible inputs. Compared to worst-case analysis, it is more representative of the typical behavior of an algorithm, but remains largely unexplored in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Courtney Paquette , Bart van Merriënboer , Elliot Paquette , Fabian Pedregosa

Computational models of human language often involve combinatorial problems. For instance, a probabilistic parser may marginalize over exponentially many trees to make predictions. Algorithms for such problems often employ dynamic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Tim Vieira , Ryan Cotterell , Jason Eisner

Non-stationary systems are found throughout the world, from climate patterns under the influence of variation in carbon dioxide concentration, to brain dynamics driven by ascending neuromodulation. Accordingly, there is a need for methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-15 Kieran S. Owens , Ben D. Fulcher

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We introduce a parallel machine scheduling problem in which the processing times of jobs are not given in advance but are determined by a system of linear constraints. The objective is to minimize the makespan, i.e., the maximum job…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-10-30 Kameng Nip , Zhenbo Wang , Zizhuo Wang

Successful human-robot teaming will require robots to adapt autonomously to a human teammate's internal state, where a critical element of such adaptation is the ability to estimate the human's workload in unknown situations. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Josh Bhagat Smith , Julie A. Adams

Industrial machine learning systems face data challenges that are often under-explored in the academic literature. Common data challenges are data distribution shifts, missing values and anomalies. In this paper, we discuss data challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Shubham Kapoor , Tim Januschowski

Recent approaches to training algorithm selectors in the black-box optimisation domain have advocated for the use of training data that is algorithm-centric in order to encapsulate information about how an algorithm performs on an instance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Quentin Renau , Emma Hart

Benchmarking optimization algorithms is fundamental for the advancement of computational intelligence. However, widely adopted artificial test suites exhibit limited correspondence with the diversity and complexity of real-world engineering…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Stefan Ivić , Siniša Družeta , Luka Grbčić

Machine learning assumes a pivotal role in our data-driven world. The increasing scale of models and datasets necessitates quick and reliable algorithms for model training. This dissertation investigates adaptivity in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Slavomír Hanzely

Predictive process monitoring is a subfield of process mining that aims to estimate case or event features for running process instances. Such predictions are of significant interest to the process stakeholders. However, most of the…