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We propose an option approach for pricing bond illiquidity that is reminiscent of the celebrated work of Longstaff (1995) on the non-marketability of some non-dividend-paying shares in IPOs. This approach describes a quite common situation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-07 Roberto Baviera , Aldo Nassigh , Emanuele Nastasi

By making full use of heat kernel estimates, we establish the integral tests on the zero-one laws of upper and lower bounds for the sample path ranges of symmetric Markov processes. In particular, these results concerning on upper rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

Hawkes processes are a self-exciting stochastic process used to describe phenomena whereby past events increase the probability of the occurrence of future events. This work presents a flexible approach for modelling a variant of these,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Raiha Browning , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

In this paper we propose a novel pricing-hedging framework for volatility derivatives which simultaneously takes into account rough volatility and volatility jumps. Our model directly targets the instantaneous variance of a risky asset and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Liang Wang , Weixuan Xia

We present a HJM approach to the projection of multiple yield curves developed to capture the volatility content of historical term structures for risk management purposes. Since we observe the empirical data at daily frequency and only for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-09 Chiara Sabelli , Michele Pioppi , Luca Sitzia , Giacomo Bormetti

We introduce a non linear pricing model of individual stock returns that defines a stickiness parameter of the returns. The pricing model resembles the capital asset pricing model used in finance but has a non linear component inspired from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Naji Massad , Jørgen Vitting Andersen

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

Motivated by empirical observations on the interplay of trends and reversion, a lattice gas model of financial markets is presented. The shares of an asset are modeled by gas molecules that are distributed across a hidden social network of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-02 Christof Schmidhuber

This paper describes a general approach for stochastic modeling of assets returns and liability cash-flows of a typical pensions insurer. On the asset side, we model the investment returns on equities and various classes of fixed-income…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Sergio Alvares Maffra , John Armstrong , Teemu Pennanen

We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester

We develop a theory of securities price formation and dynamics based on quantum approach and without presuming any similarities with quantum mechanics. Disorder introduced by trading environment leads to probability distribution of returns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-19 Jack Sarkissian

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-13 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Ismail Iyigunler , Rodrigo Rodriguez

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Accurately forecasting carbon prices is essential for informed energy market decision-making, guiding sustainable energy planning, and supporting effective decarbonization strategies. However, it remains challenging due to structural breaks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Runsheng Ren , Jing Li , Yanxiu Li , Shixun Huang , Jun Shen , Wanqing Li , John Le , Sheng Wang

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

The pricing of derivatives tied to baskets of assets demands a sophisticated framework that aligns with the available market information to capture the intricate non-linear dependency structure among the assets. We describe the dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper studies by means of standard analytic tools the small time behavior of the heat content over a bounded Lebesgue measurable set of finite perimeter by working with the set covariance function and by imposing conditions on the heat…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Luis Acuna Valverde

We propose a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Super-Replication Theorem in a model-independent framework. We prove these theorems in the setting of finite, discrete time and a market consisting of a risky asset S as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglböck , Friedrich Penkner , Walter Schachermayer

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij
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