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We consider in this paper a stochastic process that mixes in time, according to a nonobserved stationary Markov selection process, two separate sources of randomness: i) a stationary process which distribution is accessible (gold standard);…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Claire Lacour , Pierre Vandekerkhove

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Given an infinitesimal perturbation of a discrete-time finite Markov chain, we seek the states that are stable despite the perturbation, \textit{i.e.} the states whose weights in the stationary distributions can be bounded away from $0$ as…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Volker Betz , Stephane Le Roux

We adapt tools from information theory to analyze how an observer comes to synchronize with the hidden states of a finitary, stationary stochastic process. We show that synchronization is determined by both the process's internal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 James P. Crutchfield , Christopher J. Ellison , Ryan G. James , John R. Mahoney

We propose a novel, tractable latent state inference scheme for Markov jump processes, for which exact inference is often intractable. Our approach is based on an entropic matching framework that can be embedded into the well-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Yannick Eich , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

Big networks express various large-scale networks in many practical areas such as computer networks, internet of things, cloud computation, manufacturing systems, transportation networks, and healthcare systems. This paper analyzes such big…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-06 Quan-Lin Li

Non-Markovian dynamics are ubiquitous across physics, biology, and engineering. Yet our understanding of non-Markovian processes significantly lags that of simpler Markovian processes, due largely to a lack of tractable models. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-23 Matthew P. Leighton , Christopher W. Lynn

We investigate the convergence in distribution of sequential empirical processes of dependent data indexed by a class of functions F. Our technique is suitable for processes that satisfy a multiple mixing condition on a space of functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

We study a class of Markov processes with finite state space and continuous time that have product form stationary distributions. We obtain a number of examples that can generate conjectures for diffusions with inert drift.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-19 Krzysztof Burdzy , David White

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

We show that a reversible pumping mechanism operating between two states of a kinetic network can give rise to Poisson transitions between these two states. An external observer, for whom the pumping mechanism is not accessible, will…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-06 Massimiliano Esposito , Juan MR Parrondo

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

Lumping a Markov process introduces a coarser level of description that is useful in many contexts and applications. The dynamics on the coarse grained states is often approximated by its Markovian component. In this letter we derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-31 David Andrieux

The paper discusses a family of Markov processes that represent many particle systems, and their limiting behaviour when the number of particles go to infinity. The first part concerns model of biological systems: a model for sympatric…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Bernt Wennberg

We consider a chain of spin-half particles of a finite length, evolved with the mixed-field Ising Hamiltonian and impose open boundary condition. We simulate the time evolution of entanglement entropy and mutual information following quench…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-22 Surbhi Khetrapal , Emil Tore Mærsk Pedersen

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

In this paper, we seek to understand the behavior of dynamical systems that are perturbed by a parameter that changes discretely in time. If we impose certain conditions, we can study certain embedded systems within a hybrid system as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Xavier Garcia , Jennifer Kunze , Thomas Rudelius , Anthony Sanchez , Sijing Shao , Emily Speranza , Chad Vidden

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet