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We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

This paper deals with the speed of convergence of the learning curve in a Gaussian process regression framework. The learning curve describes the average generalization error of the Gaussian process used for the regression. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Loic Le Gratiet , Josselin Garnier

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The article considers semi-supervised multitask learning on a Gaussian mixture model (GMM). Using methods from statistical physics, we compute the asymptotic Bayes risk of each task in the regime of large datasets in high dimension, from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Minh-Toan Nguyen , Romain Couillet

Learning curves for Gaussian process regression are well understood when the `student' model happens to match the `teacher' (true data generation process). I derive approximations to the learning curves for the more generic case of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich

Multi-task learning models using Gaussian processes (GP) have been developed and successfully applied in various applications. The main difficulty with this approach is the computational cost of inference using the union of examples from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-29 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon

Multi-task/Multi-output learning seeks to exploit correlation among tasks to enhance performance over learning or solving each task independently. In this paper, we investigate this problem in the context of Gaussian Processes (GPs) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-10 Weitong Ruan , Eric L. Miller

Multi-task learning requires accurate identification of the correlations between tasks. In real-world time-series, tasks are rarely perfectly temporally aligned; traditional multi-task models do not account for this and subsequent errors in…

Gaussian graphical regression is a powerful means that regresses the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates, permitting the numbers of the response variables and covariates to far exceed the sample size. Model fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Teacher-student models provide a framework in which the typical-case performance of high-dimensional supervised learning can be described in closed form. The assumptions of Gaussian i.i.d. input data underlying the canonical teacher-student…

Low-rank tensor regression, a new model class that learns high-order correlation from data, has recently received considerable attention. At the same time, Gaussian processes (GP) are well-studied machine learning models for structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-01 Rose Yu , Guangyu Li , Yan Liu

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

We study learning problems in which the conditional distribution of the output given the input varies as a function of additional task variables. In varying-coefficient models with Gaussian process priors, a Gaussian process generates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-15 Matthias Bussas , Christoph Sawade , Tobias Scheffer , Niels Landwehr

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons
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