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We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Jelle Goeman , Aldo Solari

We study the question of testing structured properties (classes) of discrete distributions. Specifically, given sample access to an arbitrary distribution $D$ over $[n]$ and a property $\mathcal{P}$, the goal is to distinguish between…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-01-22 Clément L. Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Ronitt Rubinfeld

Conformal prediction is a general distribution-free approach for constructing prediction sets combined with any machine learning algorithm that achieve valid marginal or conditional coverage in finite samples. Ordinal classification is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Subhrasish Chakraborty , Chhavi Tyagi , Haiyan Qiao , Wenge Guo

Boolean formulae compactly encode huge, constrained search spaces. Thus, variability-intensive systems are often encoded with Boolean formulae. The search space of a variability-intensive system is usually too large to explore without…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Olivier Zeyen , Maxime Cordy , Martin Gubri , Gilles Perrouin , Mathieu Acher

We consider the problem of sampling from solutions defined by a set of hard constraints on a combinatorial space. We propose a new sampling technique that, while enforcing a uniform exploration of the search space, leverages the reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Stefano Ermon , Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

Distribution testing is a fundamental statistical task with many applications, but we are interested in a variety of problems where systematic mislabelings of the sample prevent us from applying the existing theory. To apply distribution…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Renato Ferreira Pinto , Nathaniel Harms

In this work, we introduce statistical testing under distributional shifts. We are interested in the hypothesis $P^* \in H_0$ for a target distribution $P^*$, but observe data from a different distribution $Q^*$. We assume that $P^*$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Nikolaj Thams , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Conditional independence (CI) testing is a fundamental task in modern statistics and machine learning. The conditional randomization test (CRT) was recently introduced to test whether two random variables, $X$ and $Y$, are conditionally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-19 Yanfeng Yang , Shuai Li , Yingjie Zhang , Zhuoran Sun , Hai Shu , Ziqi Chen , Renming Zhang

We study the identity testing problem for high-dimensional distributions. Given as input an explicit distribution $\mu$, an $\varepsilon>0$, and access to sampling oracle(s) for a hidden distribution $\pi$, the goal in identity testing is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Antonio Blanca , Zongchen Chen , Daniel Štefankovič , Eric Vigoda

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

We introduce the Neural Conditioner (NC), a self-supervised machine able to learn about all the conditional distributions of a random vector $X$. The NC is a function $NC(x \cdot a, a, r)$ that leverages adversarial training to match each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Mohamed Ishmael Belghazi , Maxime Oquab , Yann LeCun , David Lopez-Paz

Several procedures have been recently proposed to test the simplifying assumption for conditional copulas. Instead of considering pointwise conditioning events, we study the constancy of the conditional dependence structure when some…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian , Aleksey Min

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

Classifying samples as in-distribution or out-of-distribution (OOD) is a challenging problem of anomaly detection and a strong test of the generalisation power for models of the in-distribution. In this paper, we present a simple and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Nima Rafiee , Rahil Gholamipoor , Markus Kollmann

A causal set is a partially ordered set on a countably infinite ground-set such that each element is above finitely many others. A natural extension of a causal set is an enumeration of its elements which respects the order. We bring…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-22 Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

The energy test is a powerful binning-free, multi-dimensional and distribution-free tool that can be applied to compare a measurement to a given prediction (goodness-of-fit) or to check whether two data samples originate from the same…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-30 G. Zech

We study the problem of testing discrete distributions with a focus on the high probability regime. Specifically, given samples from one or more discrete distributions, a property $\mathcal{P}$, and parameters $0< \epsilon, \delta <1$, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Daniel M. Kane , John Peebles , Eric Price