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We introduce a class of Gaussian processes with stationary increments which exhibit long-range dependence. The class includes fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2 as a typical example. We establish infinite and finite past…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Akihiko Inoue , Vo Van Anh

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Mark D. Risser

We investigate simple models for strictly non-ergodic stochastic processes $x_t$ ($t$ being the discrete time step) focusing on the expectation value $v$ and the standard deviation $\delta v$ of the empirical variance $v[x]$ of finite time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-11-23 G. George , L. Klochko , A. N. Semenov , J. Baschnagel , J. P. Wittmer

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

We construct a family of non-Gaussian martingales the marginals of which are all Gaussian. We give the predictable quadratic variation of these processes and show they do not have continuous paths. These processes are Markovian and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner

We consider stochastic dynamics of a particle on a plane in presence of two noises and a confining parabolic potential - an analog of the experimentally-relevant Brownian Gyrator (BG) model. In contrast to the standard BG model, we suppose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-16 Timothée Herbeau , Leonid Pastur , Pascal Viot , Gleb Oshanin

In the paper we consider an interesting possibility of a time as a stochastic process in quantum mechanics.In order to do it we reconsider time as a mechanical quantity in classical mechanics and afterwards we quantize it. We consider…

General Physics · Physics 2022-05-13 M. W. Kalinowski

This article examines Gaussian processes generated by monotonically modulating stationary kernels. An explicit isometry between the original and the modulated reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces is established, preserving eigenvalues and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Stephen Crowley

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

We study strictly parabolic stochastic partial differential equations on $\R^d$, $d\ge 1$, driven by a Gaussian noise white in time and coloured in space. Assuming that the coefficients of the differential operator are random, we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marco Ferrante , Marta Sanz-Solé

In this note, we design a discrete random walk on the real line which takes steps $0, \pm 1$ (and one with steps in $\{\pm 1, 2\}$) where at least $96\%$ of the signs are $\pm 1$ in expectation, and which has $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$ as a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Yang P. Liu , Ashwin Sah , Mehtaab Sawhney

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Gaussian processes models are widely adopted for nonparameteric/semi-parametric modeling. Identifiability issues occur when the mean model contains polynomials with unknown coefficients. Though resulting prediction is unaffected, this leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-02 Matthew Plumlee , V. Roshan Joseph

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

The explicit dynamics of the moments for the GKSL equation and the approach in finding stationary Gaussian states are obtained. In our case the GKSL equation corresponds to Wiener stochastic processes. Such equations contain a double…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-04 D. D. Ivanov , A. E. Teretenkov
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