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We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Recent molecular dynamics simulations show that a dilute relativistic gas equilibrates to a Juettner velocity distribution if ensemble velocities are measured simultaneously in the observer frame. The analysis of relativistic Brownian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-02-04 David Cubero , Joern Dunkel

Performing stochastic inversion on a computationally expensive forward simulation model with a high-dimensional uncertain parameter space (e.g. a spatial random field) is computationally prohibitive even with gradient information provided.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-19 Charanraj A. Thimmisetty , Wenju Zhao , Xiao Chen , Charles H. Tong , Joshua A. White

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

The information detection of complex systems from data is currently undergoing a revolution, driven by the emergence of big data and machine learning methodology. Discovering governing equations and quantifying dynamical properties of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Jianyu Hu , Xiangjun Wang

Empirical force fields employed in molecular dynamics simulations of complex systems can be optimised to reproduce experimentally determined structural and thermodynamic properties. In contrast, experimental knowledge about the rates of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-12 P. G. Bolhuis , Z. F. Brotzakis , B. G. Keller

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

Score-function based methods for policy learning, such as REINFORCE and PPO, have delivered strong results in game-playing and robotics, yet their high variance often undermines training stability. Using pathwise policy gradients, i.e.…

We propose a scalable method for forward stochastic reachability analysis for uncontrolled linear systems with affine disturbance. Our method uses Fourier transforms to efficiently compute the forward stochastic reach probability measure…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-14 Abraham P. Vinod , Baisravan Homchaudhuri , Meeko M. K. Oishi

The stochastic entropy generated during the evolution of a system interacting with an environment may be separated into three components, but only two of these have a non-negative mean. The third component of entropy production is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-30 Ian J. Ford , Richard E. Spinney

This paper presents three new computational methods for calculating design sensitivities of statistical moments and reliability of high-dimensional complex systems subject to random input. The first method represents a novel integration of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Sharif Rahman , Xuchun Ren

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

SRB measures are limiting stationary distributions describing the statistical behavior of chaotic dynamical systems. Directional derivatives of SRB measure densities conditioned on unstable manifolds are critical in the sensitivity analysis…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Adam A. Sliwiak , Qiqi Wang

We present a method to compute the stochastic reachability safety probabilities for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. Our approach takes advantage of a nonparametric learning technique known as conditional distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-19 Adam J. Thorpe , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Path reweighting is a principally exact method to estimate dynamic properties from biased simulations - provided that the path probability ratio matches the stochastic integrator used in the simulation. Previously reported path probability…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-02 Stefanie Kieninger , Bettina G. Keller

Entropy production (EP) is a central measure in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, as it can quantify the irreversibility of a process as well as its energy dissipation in special cases. Using the time-reversal asymmetry in a system's path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-26 Dong-Kyum Kim , Sangyun Lee , Hawoong Jeong

Analysing stationary point databases to extract phenomenological rate constants can become time-consuming for systems with large potential energy barriers. In the present contribution we analyse several different approaches to this problem.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

In this paper, we develop approximate dynamic programming methods for stochastic systems modeled as Markov Decision Processes, given both soft performance criteria and hard constraints in a class of probabilistic temporal logic called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Lening Li , Jie Fu

We present a new methodology for studying non-Hamiltonian nonlinear systems based on an information theoretic extension of a renormalization group technique using a modified maximum entropy principle. We obtain a rigorous dimensionally…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-06-28 M. Schmuck , M. Pradas , S. Kalliadasis , G. A. Pavliotis
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