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This paper proposes and axiomatizes a new updating rule: Relative Maximum Likelihood (RML) for ambiguous beliefs represented by a set of priors (C). This rule takes the form of applying Bayes' rule to a subset of C. This subset is a linear…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Xiaoyu Cheng

We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Closed-loop learning is the process of repeatedly estimating a model from data generated from the model itself. It is receiving great attention due to the possibility that large neural network models may, in the future, be primarily trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Fariba Jangjoo , Matteo Marsili , Yasser Roudi

We consider nonlinear mixed effects models including high-dimensional covariates to model individual parameters variability. The objective is to identify relevant covariates among a large set under sparsity assumption and to estimate model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

The maximum-likelihood method for quantum estimation is reviewed and applied to the reconstruction of density matrix of spin and radiation as well as to the determination of several parameters of interest in quantum optics.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. G. A. Paris , G. M. D'Ariano , M. F. Sacchi

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a solution satisfying certain non-negativity constraints to a linear system of equations. Importantly and in contrast to some prior work, we allow all parameters in the system…

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Predict+Optimize is a recently proposed framework which combines machine learning and constrained optimization, tackling optimization problems that contain parameters that are unknown at solving time. The goal is to predict the unknown…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Xinyi Hu , Jasper C. H. Lee , Jimmy H. M. Lee

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

Maximum-likelihood exponent maps have been studied as a technique to increase the understanding and improve the fit of power-law exponents to experimental and numerical simulation data, especially when they exhibit both upper and lower…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-02 Jordi Baró , Eduard Vives

In this paper the maximum likelihood equations for the parameters of the Weight Lindley distribution are studied considering different types of censoring, such as, type I, type II and random censoring mechanism. A numerical simulation study…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Vicente G. Cancho

A widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (Watanabe, 2013) is applicable for both regular and singular models in the model selection problem. This criterion tends to overestimate the log marginal likelihood. We identify an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Toru Imai

We propose a new approach for estimating the parameters of a probability distribution. It consists on combining two new methods of estimation. The first is based on the definition of a new distance measuring the difference between…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-30 Ahmed Guellil , Tewfik Kernane

We provide here a proof theoretic account of constraint programming that attempts to capture the essential ingredients of this programming style. We exemplify it by presenting proof rules for linear constraints over interval domains, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Krzysztof R. Apt

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

We consider an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations when some components of the random observations are subject to missingness. As the nature of the estimating equations is wide-ranging, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-05 Dong Wang , Song Xi Chen

In this Letter, we strengthen and extend the connection between simulation and estimation to exploit simulation routines that do not exactly compute the probability of experimental data, known as the likelihood function. Rather, we provide…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-14 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade

We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders