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This paper investigates real-time detection of spoofing activity in limit order books, focusing on cryptocurrency centralized exchanges. We first introduce novel order flow variables based on multi-scale Hawkes processes that account both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Timothée Fabre , Damien Challet

We present a model for a random walk with memory, phenomenologically inspired in a biological system. The walker has the capacity to remember the time of the last visit to each site and the step taken from there. This memory affects the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-01-15 Laila D. Kazimierski , Guillermo Abramson , Marcelo N. Kuperman

We construct the conditional version of $k$ independent and identically distributed random walks on $\R$ given that they stay in strict order at all times. This is a generalisation of so-called non-colliding or non-intersecting random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Eichelsbacher , Wolfgang Konig

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion, by incorporating a random waiting time between particle jumps. In finance, the particle jumps are log-returns and the waiting times measure delay between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Mark M. Meerschaert , Enrico Scalas

For the supercritical Bernoulli bond percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ ($d \geq 2$), we give a coupling between the random walk on the infinite cluster and its limit Brownian motion, such that the maximum distance between the paths during…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Chenlin Gu , Zhonggen Su , Ruizhe Xu

There is a long history of establishing central limit theorems for Markov chains. Quantitative bounds for chains with a spectral gap were proved by Mann and refined later. Recently, rates of convergence for the total variation distance were…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Rafael Chiclana , Yuval Peres

Daily, are reported systems in nature that present anomalous diffusion phenomena due to irregularities of medium, traps or reactions process. In this scenario, the diffusion with traps or localised--reactions emerge through various…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-01 Maike A. F. dos Santos

We focus on the existence and characterization of the limit for a certain critical branching random walks in time-space random environment in one dimension which was introduced by M. Birnkenr et.al. Each particle performs simple random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-28 Makoto Nakashima

The Airy line ensemble is a random collection of continuous ordered paths that plays an important role within random matrix theory and the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality class. The aim of this paper is to prove a universality property of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Denis Denisov , Will FitzGerald , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper we investigate the problem of order batching for picker routing. Our approach is applicable to warehouses (storage areas) arranged in the standard rectangular grid layout, so with parallel aisles and two or more cross-aisles.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Cristiano Arbex Valle , John E Beasley

In this article it is shown that the Brownian motion on the continuum random tree is the scaling limit of the simple random walks on any family of discrete $n$-vertex ordered graph trees whose search-depth functions converge to the Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David Croydon

We introduce a new self-interacting random walk on the integers in a dynamic random environment and show that it converges to a pure diffusion in the scaling limit. We also find a lower bound on the diffusion coefficient in some special…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Majid Hosseini , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

In this note, we try to analyze and clarify the intriguing interplay between some counting problems related to specific thermalized weighted graphs and random walks consistent with such graphs.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Thierry Huillet

In this work, we propose an order book model with herd behavior. The proposed model is built upon two distinct approaches: a recent empirical study of the detailed order book records by Kanazawa et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 120, 138301] and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Julius Ruseckas

We consider the limit distributions of open quantum random walks on one-dimensional lattice space. We introduce a dual process to the original quantum walk process, which is quite similar to the relation of Schr\"odinger-Heisenberg…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Norio Konno , Hyun Jae Yoo

A coupling method is developed for univariate extreme value theory , providing an alternative to the use of the tail empirical/quantile processes. Emphasizing the Peak-over-Threshold approach that approximates the distribution above high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

Unlike classical simple random walks, one-dimensional random walks in random environments (RWRE) are known to have a wide array of potential limiting distributions. Under certain assumptions, however, it is known that CLT-like limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Sung Won Ahn , Jonathon Peterson

Motivated by a zero-intelligence approach, the aim of this paper is to connect the microscopic (discrete price and volume), mesoscopic (discrete price and continuous volume) and macroscopic (continuous price and volume) frameworks for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Ben Hambly , Jasdeep Kalsi , James Newbury

We introduce a general model of trapping for random walks on graphs. We give the possible scaling limits of these Randomly Trapped Random Walks on $\mathbb {Z}$. These scaling limits include the well-known fractional kinetics process, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Manuel Cabezas , Jiří Černý , Roman Royfman

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Ban Zheng , Eric Moulines , Frédéric Abergel
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