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We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

We consider random walks in a random environment of the type p_0+\gamma\xi_z, where p_0 denotes the transition probabilities of a stationary random walk on \BbbZ^d, to nearest neighbors, and \xi_z is an i.i.d. random perturbation. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christophe Sabot

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint on the parameters then the maximum likelihood estimate does not exist. But when the ratios of the scale parameters are restricted appropriately, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Kentaro Tanaka

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

We consider one dimensional random walks in random environment where every time the process stays at a location, it dies with a fixed probability. Under some mild assumptions it is easy to show that the survival probability goes to zero as…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Stefan Junk

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

We study a random walk in random environment on the non-negative integers. The random environment is not homogeneous in law, but is a mixture of two kinds of site, one in asymptotically vanishing proportion. The two kinds of site are (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We give a complete expansion, at any accuracy order, for the iterated convolution of a complex valued integrable sequence in one space dimension. The remainders are estimated sharply with generalized Gaussian bounds. The result applies in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Jean-François Coulombel , Grégory Faye

In this article, we study the maximal displacement in a branching random walk. We prove that its asymptotic behaviour consists in a first almost sure ballistic term, a negative logarithmic correction in probability and stochastically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Bastien Mallein

We consider $d$ independent walkers in the same random environment in $\mathbb{Z}$. Our assumption on the law of the environment is such that a single walker is transient to the right but subballistic. We show that - no matter what $d$ is -…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Alexis Devulder , Nina Gantert , Françoise Pene

We consider a random walk X_n in non-i.i.d. environment and show that the ratio of log X_n to log n converges in probability to a positive constant.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Roitershtein

We consider random walks in Dirichlet environment (RWDE) on $\Z ^d$, for $ d \geq 3 $, in the sub-ballistic case. We associate to any parameter $ (\alpha_1, ..., \alpha_{2d}) $ of the Dirichlet law a time-change to accelerate the walk. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Élodie Bouchet

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We consider a discrete time simple symmetric random walk on Z^d, d>=1, where the path of the walk is perturbed by inserting deterministic jumps. We show that for any time n and any deterministic jumps that we insert, the expected number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Lung-Chi Chen , Rongfeng Sun

This paper states a law of large numbers for a random walk in a random iid environment on ${\mathbb Z}^d$, where the environment follows some Dirichlet distribution. Moreover, we give explicit bounds for the asymptotic velocity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot

In this article, we study the maximal displacement of critical branching random walk in random environment. Let $M_n$ be the maximal displacement of a particle in generation $n$, and $Z_n$ be the total population in generation $n$, $M$ be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Wenxin Fu , Wenming Hong

We study nearest neighbor random walks on fixed environments of $\mathbb{Z}$ composed of two point types : $(1/2,1/2)$ and $(p,1-p)$ for $p>1/2$. We show that for every environment with density of $p$ drifts bounded by $\lambda$ we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Eviatar B. Procaccia , Ron Rosenthal