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Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

This paper introduces a new data analysis method for big data using a newly defined regression model named multiple model linear regression(MMLR), which separates input datasets into subsets and construct local linear regression models of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Bohan Lyu , Jianzhong Li

In a previous paper, we have given an algebraic model to the set of intervals. Here, we apply this model in a linear frame. We define a notion of diagonalization of square matrices whose coefficients are intervals. But in this case, with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-29 Nicolas Goze

In functional linear regression, the parameters estimation involves solving a non necessarily well-posed problem and it has points of contact with a range of methodologies, including statistical smoothing, deconvolution and projection on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Andrea Ghiglietti , Francesca Ieva , Anna Maria Paganoni , Giacomo Aletti

Segmented regression models offer model flexibility and interpretability as compared to the global parametric and the nonparametric models, and yet are challenging in both estimation and inference. We consider a four-regime segmented model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Han Yan , Song Xi Chen

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

For linear models with spatial errors, the empirical likelihood ratio statistics are constructed for the parameters of the models. It is shown that the limiting distributions of the empirical likelihood ratio statistics are chi-squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Yongsong Qin

Despite their simplicity, linear models perform well at time series forecasting, even when pitted against deeper and more expensive models. A number of variations to the linear model have been proposed, often including some form of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 William Toner , Luke Darlow

We study a regression problem where for some part of the data we observe both the label variable ($Y$) and the predictors (${\bf X}$), while for other part of the data only the predictors are given. Such a problem arises, for example, when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 David Azriel , Lawrence D. Brown , Michael Sklar , Richard Berk , Andreas Buja , Linda Zhao

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of regression models for bounded continuous data, commonly encountered in applied research. The models, named the power logit regression models, assume that the response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes Paula Ferrari

The problem of fitting experimental data to a given model function $f(t; p_1,p_2,\dots,p_N)$ is conventionally solved numerically by methods such as that of Levenberg-Marquardt, which are based on approximating the Chi-squared measure of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Alberto Herrera-Gomez , R. Michael Porter

In this work we use intersection of different pseudo-orbits obtained by interval extensions to reduce the bounds of the exact solution provided by the toolbox Intlab. The method is applied on the logistic map.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-28 H. M. Rodrigues Junior , M. L. C. Peixoto , E. G. Nepomuceno

A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

In this paper, we consider a class of nonlinear regression problems without the assumption of being independent and identically distributed. We propose a correspondent mini-max problem for nonlinear regression and give a numerical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Qing Xu , Xiaohua Xuan
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