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Networked systems are susceptible to cascading failures, where the failure of an initial set of nodes propagates through the network, often leading to system-wide failures. In this work, we propose a multiplex flow network model to study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Orkun İrsoy , Osman Yağan

We develop a systemic risk framework to explore cascading systemic failures in networked control systems. A time-delayed version of the vehicle platooning problem is used as a benchmark to study the interplay among network connectivity,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Guangyi Liu , Christoforos Somarakis , Nader Motee

Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Giuseppe Brandi , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

Credit and liquidity risks represent main channels of financial contagion for interbank lending markets. On one hand, banks face potential losses whenever their counterparties are under distress and thus unable to fulfill their obligations.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Giulio Cimini , Matteo Serri

This work develops an agent-based model for the study of how the leverage through the use of repurchase agreements can function as a mechanism for the propagation and amplification of financial shocks in a financial system. Based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-23 Leonardo dos Santos Pinheiro , Flavio Codeco COelho

We model smart grids as complex interdependent networks, and study targeted attacks on smart grids for the first time. A smart grid consists of two networks: the power network and the communication network, interconnected by edges.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Sushmita Ruj , Arindam Pal

Large scale networks delineating collective dynamics often exhibit cascading failures across nodes leading to a system-wide collapse. Prominent examples of such phenomena would include collapse on financial and economic networks.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Sudarshan Kumar , Tiziana Di Matteo , Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We consider a model of financial contagion in a bipartite network of assets and banks recently introduced in the literature, and we study the effect of power law distributions of degree and balance-sheet size on the stability of the system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-25 Opeoluwa Banwo , Fabio Caccioli , Paul Harrald , Francesca Medda

We have conducted an agent-based simulation of chain bankruptcy. The propagation of credit risk on a network, i.e., chain bankruptcy, is the key to nderstanding largesized bankruptcies. In our model, decrease of revenue by the loss of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Yuichi Ikeda , Yoshi Fujiwara , Wataru Souma , Hideaki Aoyama , Hiroshi Iyetomi

We propose a model and an estimation technique to distinguish systemic risk and contagion in credit risk. The main idea is to assume, for a set of $d$ obligors, a set of $d$ idiosyncratic shocks and a shock that triggers the default of all…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Umberto Cherubini , Sabrina Mulinacci

Various works have already showed that common shocks and cross-country financial linkages caused the banking systems of several countries to be highly interconnected with the result that during bad times, banking crises may arise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-30 Paolo Di Caro , Giuseppe Pernagallo , Antonino Damiano Rossello , Benedetto Torrisi

In this study, we introduce an analytics framework, the Bank Risk Interlinkage with Dynamic Graph and Event Simulations (BRIDGES), to capture the systemic risks associated with the growing economic influence of the BRICS nations. This…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Haibo Wang

Integrated cyber-physical systems (CPSs), such as the smart grid, are increasingly becoming the underpinning technology for major industries. A major concern regarding such systems are the seemingly unexpected large-scale failures, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-27 Yingrui Zhang , Osman Yagan

The role of Network Theory in the study of the financial crisis has been widely spotted in the latest years. It has been shown how the network topology and the dynamics running on top of it can trigger the outbreak of large systemic crisis.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Andrea Flori , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Fabio Pammolli

The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tilman Dette , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

This work proposes an augmented variant of DebtRank with uncertainty intervals as a method to investigate and assess systemic risk in financial networks, in a context of incomplete data. The algorithm is tested against a default contagion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-05 Stefano Gurciullo

Cascading failures constitute an important vulnerability of interconnected systems. Here we focus on the study of such failures on networks in which the connectivity of nodes is constrained by geographical distance. Specifically, we use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-08 Andrea Asztalos , Sameet Sreenivasan , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

In a cascading power transmission outage, component outages propagate non-locally, after one component outages, the next failure may be very distant, both topologically and geographically. As a result, simple models of topological contagion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-14 Paul D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson , Pooya Rezaei

The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 Xiaobing Feng , Haibo Hu

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

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